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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 83¢ · 100¢ (17¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | 83¢ · 100¢ (17¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | blket | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $13,174 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 25d |  36483934890473 fills | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAdrian Mannarino75¢ → 100¢ | $41,067 | −$13,392 −33% | — |
| 25d | UpTheBlues3 fills | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino74¢ → 100¢ | $3,565 | +$1,272 +36% | 6 |
| 25d | blket | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino91¢ → 100¢ | $12,000 | +$1,187 +9.9% | 5 |
| 25d | redvinny2 fills | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAdrian Mannarino83¢ → 100¢ | $3,028 | −$620 −20% | — |
| 25d | 3648393489047 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | SellMiomir Kecmanovic49¢ → 0¢ | $15,598 | +$15,598 +100% | — |
| 25d | Antblack5 fills | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyMiomir Kecmanovic46¢ → 0¢ | $37,200 | −$37,200 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | UpTheBlues6 fills | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyMiomir Kecmanovic78¢ → 0¢ | $7,911 | −$7,911 −100% | 5 |
| 25d | 3648393489047 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino52¢ → 100¢ | $38,407 | +$35,508 +92% | 6 |
| 25d |  DCAAA | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino51¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$980 +96% | 6 |
| 25d | kaiserfranz44 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | SellMiomir Kecmanovic92¢ → 0¢ | $3,136 | +$3,136 +100% | — |
| 25d |  tradecraft | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyMiomir Kecmanovic90¢ → 0¢ | $1,468 | −$1,468 −100% | 5 |
| 25d | Monthly-Dishwasher | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | SellMiomir Kecmanovic87¢ → 0¢ | $1,414 | +$1,414 +100% | — |
| 25d | Antblack | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | SellMiomir Kecmanovic86¢ → 0¢ | $58,477 | +$58,477 +100% | — |
| 25d | 12f842n2e76 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | SellMiomir Kecmanovic87¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | +$1,002 +100% | — |
| 25d | kaiserfranz44 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyMiomir Kecmanovic44¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino63¢ → 100¢ | $13,793 | +$7,983 +58% | 6 |
| 25d | phredmoz | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | SellMiomir Kecmanovic43¢ → 0¢ | $1,834 | +$1,834 +100% | — |
| 25d | phredmoz | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyMiomir Kecmanovic61¢ → 0¢ | $2,602 | −$2,602 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | 36483934890473 fills | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyMiomir Kecmanovic54¢ → 0¢ | $24,102 | −$24,102 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | hurrican | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyMiomir Kecmanovic51¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Monthly-Dishwasher | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyMiomir Kecmanovic52¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Felix8976 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyMiomir Kecmanovic51¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 25d |  DoShanna456818 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyMiomir Kecmanovic51¢ → 0¢ | $1,135 | −$1,135 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | DoShanna456818 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | SellMiomir Kecmanovic45¢ → 0¢ | $1,196 | +$1,196 +100% | — |
| 25d | hurrican | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAdrian Mannarino70¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | −$533 −43% | — |
| 25d | redvinny | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino92¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | +$139 +8.7% | 5 |
| 25d | hurrican | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino90¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$178 +11% | 5 |
| 25d | flatbarrel | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino73¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$395 +37% | 6 |
| 25d | tradecraft | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino70¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | +$668 +43% | 6 |
| 25d | Exalted-Evocation | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino60¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$660 +66% | 6 |
| 25d | yohwowTheMagiccc | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyMiomir Kecmanovic53¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino49¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$1,842 +102% | 6 |
| 25d | RebornAthena | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyMiomir Kecmanovic56¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Carlos10 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyMiomir Kecmanovic60¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 26d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino40¢ → 100¢ | $1,439 | +$2,158 +150% | 4 |
| 26d | 0x7469…25a7 | Completed Match | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,853 | +$119 +2.0% | 4 |
eskk9,850 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Adrian Mannarino in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino means the market gives it about 0%.