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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185d | zxc368 | Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 23.5 | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,023 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 185d | zxc368 | Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 21.5 | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,024 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 185d | simbich | Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyGilles Arnaud Bailly>99¢ | $1,870 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 185d | Clinician | Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | SellGilles Arnaud Bailly97¢ → 100¢ | $3,078 | −$89 −2.9% | — |
| 185d | Clinician | Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyGilles Arnaud Bailly73¢ → 100¢ | $1,967 | +$735 +37% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Ergi Kirkin and Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the Shymkent, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ergi Kirkin' if Ergi Kirkin advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Ergi Kirkin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 8.5 means the market gives it about 100%.