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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka Set 1 Winner | 50% | +16 pts | — | 50¢ · 77¢ (27¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +17 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +11 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +1 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +7 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | −22 pts | — | 50¢ · 50¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | −11 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | −26 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | −2 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184d | Afh1994 | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | SellNicolai Budkov Kjaer>99¢ | $1,493 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | Hard-Ironclad | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | SellNicolai Budkov Kjaer>99¢ | $6,208 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | Peace12345 | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | SellNicolai Budkov Kjaer>99¢ | $2,344 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | blindsamsam | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | SellNicolai Budkov Kjaer>99¢ | $1,564 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 184d |  MohnatiyParanoik | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | SellNicolai Budkov Kjaer>99¢ | $1,719 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | destropyer | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | SellNicolai Budkov Kjaer>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | Hard-Ironclad | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyNicolai Budkov Kjaer99¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | +$19 +1.3% | 4 |
| 184d | sovereign2013 | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyNicolai Budkov Kjaer74¢ → 100¢ | $5,275 | +$1,853 +35% | 6 |
| 184d |  TRCM4 fills | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyNicolai Budkov Kjaer57¢ → 100¢ | $5,340 | +$4,027 +75% | 6 |
| 184d |  tradecraft3 fills | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyNicolai Budkov Kjaer61¢ → 100¢ | $10,353 | +$6,733 +65% | 6 |
| 184d | askilika5 fills | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka54¢ → 0¢ | $12,044 | −$12,044 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | Loouney9 | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka54¢ → 0¢ | $1,203 | −$1,203 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | I.AM.E-P | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyNicolai Budkov Kjaer49¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$1,483 +104% | 6 |
| 184d | 13126052 | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | SellNicolai Budkov Kjaer50¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | −$1,182 −100% | — |
| 184d | DogecoinMillionaire | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyNicolai Budkov Kjaer46¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$1,207 +117% | 6 |
| 184d | swisstony | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka56¢ → 0¢ | $1,380 | −$1,380 −100% | 6 |
| 184d |  itdo | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyNicolai Budkov Kjaer45¢ → 100¢ | $2,522 | +$3,082 +122% | 6 |
| 184d | Peace12345 | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyNicolai Budkov Kjaer44¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$1,291 +127% | 6 |
| 184d | LeftySanchez12 fills | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka57¢ → 0¢ | $30,878 | −$30,878 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | twentydarde- | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka55¢ → 0¢ | $979 | −$979 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | Sour-Basket | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka54¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | −$1,230 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | Losingggstreak2 fills | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka53¢ → 0¢ | $26,122 | −$26,122 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | dadasdaqw2 | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka53¢ → 0¢ | $972 | −$972 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | jmm202 fills | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka52¢ → 0¢ | $8,477 | −$8,477 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | eokho | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka53¢ → 0¢ | $1,716 | −$1,716 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | Impressive-Shoe | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka51¢ → 0¢ | $3,515 | −$3,515 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | k56 | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka50¢ → 0¢ | $1,423 | −$1,423 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | silelis | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka50¢ → 0¢ | $970 | −$970 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | TexMexTRex | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyNicolai Budkov Kjaer51¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$1,044 +98% | 6 |
| 184d | WynnWaldorf | Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka | BuyReilly Opelka52¢ → 0¢ | $2,913 | −$2,913 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Reilly Opelka in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Reilly Opelka. This market will resolve to 'Reilly Opelka' if Reilly Opelka advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka means the market gives it about 100%.