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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73d | MilesY | Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka | SellHayato Matsuoka>99¢ | $1,132 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | Rokaspratkelis | Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka | SellHayato Matsuoka>99¢ | $1,703 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | phredmoz | Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka | SellHayato Matsuoka>99¢ | $3,388 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | softmaxi | Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka | BuyHayato Matsuoka96¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$88 +4.7% | 4 |
| 73d | ferrariChampions2026 | Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka | BuyHayato Matsuoka96¢ → 100¢ | $4,298 | +$186 +4.3% | 4 |
| 73d | MilesY | Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka | BuyHayato Matsuoka90¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$113 +11% | 5 |
| 73d |  ComingBack | Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka | BuyHayato Matsuoka85¢ → 100¢ | $12,752 | +$2,250 +18% | 5 |
| 73d | Rokaspratkelis | Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka | BuyHayato Matsuoka77¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | +$390 +30% | 6 |
| 73d | phredmoz | Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka | BuyHayato Matsuoka77¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$791 +30% | 6 |
| 73d | Reliable-Giggle | Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyKumasaka50¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
poshposh1,167 shares
clownly600 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Takuya Kumasaka and Hayato Matsuoka in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Hayato Matsuoka. This market will resolve to 'Hayato Matsuoka' if Hayato Matsuoka advances against Takuya Kumasaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Hayato Matsuoka means the market gives it about 0%.