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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 Winner | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98d | Numb-Ramie | Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi | SellMark Lajal>99¢ | $2,370 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 98d | mm12310 | Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi | SellMark Lajal>99¢ | $1,233 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 98d | swisstony2 fills | Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi | BuyMark Lajal97¢ → 100¢ | $22,151 | +$721 +3.3% | 4 |
| 99d | Numb-Ramie | Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi | BuyMark Lajal84¢ → 100¢ | $2,025 | +$384 +19% | 5 |
| 99d | ferrariChampions2026 | Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi | BuyMark Lajal63¢ → 100¢ | $3,602 | +$2,116 +59% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Mark Lajal and Rio Noguchi in the Lincoln, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mark Lajal' if Mark Lajal advances against Rio Noguchi. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Mark Lajal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Rio Noguchi means the market gives it about 100%.