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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70d | Tantula | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $4,974 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | Kalahanda | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $3,189 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $13,870 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | saltibiscoti | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $2,697 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | Kalahanda | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta94¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$192 +6.4% | 4 |
| 70d | swisstony6 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta84¢ → 100¢ | $14,065 | +$2,681 +19% | 5 |
| 70d | pammbettingbeta | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta99¢ → 100¢ | $1,746 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 70d | Notable-Carrier3 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta98¢ → 100¢ | $57,684 | −$1,177 −2.0% | — |
| 70d | saltibiscoti | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta92¢ → 100¢ | $2,484 | +$216 +8.7% | 5 |
| 70d | flatbarrel2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta74¢ → 100¢ | $3,523 | +$1,241 +35% | 6 |
| 70d |  one8tyfive | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyTomas Machac22¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | Ditto3212 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyTomas Machac22¢ → 0¢ | $5,060 | −$5,060 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | Jittery-Confidentiality | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5 | BuyOver53¢ → 0¢ | $1,669 | −$1,669 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | notgoodluck | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyTomas Machac22¢ → 0¢ | $2,391 | −$2,391 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | jtwyslljy2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyTomas Machac30¢ → 0¢ | $8,222 | −$8,222 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta69¢ → 100¢ | $9,524 | +$4,360 +46% | 6 |
| 70d | HomeRunHazard | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta67¢ → 100¢ | $6,320 | +$3,113 +49% | 6 |
| 70d | Tantula | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta68¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$706 +47% | 6 |
| 70d | 0xe98c…8792 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyTomas Machac39¢ → 0¢ | $2,305 | −$2,305 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | Notable-Carrier11 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta57¢ → 100¢ | $383,493 | +$291K +76% | 6 |
| 70d |  PlatinumGoofy | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyTomas Machac23¢ → 0¢ | $2,391 | −$2,391 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | swisstony | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyTomas Machac41¢ → 0¢ | $1,017 | −$1,017 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | HomeRunHazard | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyTomas Machac41¢ → 0¢ | $2,785 | −$2,785 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyTomas Machac45¢ → 0¢ | $4,500 | −$4,500 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellTomas Machac44¢ → 0¢ | $2,628 | +$2,628 +100% | — |
| 70d | paquitomillonario | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta54¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$940 +85% | 6 |
| 70d | Bagwell3062 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyTomas Machac47¢ → 0¢ | $7,049 | −$7,049 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | Lilybaeum | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyTomas Machac46¢ → 0¢ | $1,034 | −$1,034 −100% | 6 |
| 70d |  RN1 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyTomas Machac46¢ → 0¢ | $4,483 | −$4,483 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | comon119 | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta53¢ → 100¢ | $3,180 | +$2,820 +89% | 6 |
| 70d | fastball672 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta52¢ → 100¢ | $6,046 | +$5,633 +93% | 6 |
| 70d | Portly-Derivation | Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta49¢ → 100¢ | $5,725 | +$6,006 +105% | 6 |
one8tyfive28,000 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta means the market gives it about 0%.