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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | littlebay | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | SellLiam Draxl>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | blket | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | SellLiam Draxl>99¢ | $2,877 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | n1ck10s | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | SellLiam Draxl99¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 7d | blket | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | BuyLiam Draxl85¢ → 100¢ | $2,448 | +$432 +18% | 5 |
| 7d | littlebay | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | BuyLiam Draxl85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$300 +18% | 5 |
| 7d | HomeRunHazard | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | BuyLiam Draxl50¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$1,007 +100% | 6 |
| 7d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | BuyLiam Draxl55¢ → 100¢ | $7,046 | +$5,856 +83% | 6 |
| 7d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | BuyLiam Draxl39¢ → 100¢ | $3,916 | +$6,008 +153% | 6 |
| 7d | UpTheBlues5 fills | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | BuyTomas Machac77¢ → 0¢ | $11,874 | −$11,874 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | Secondary-Covariate | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | BuyTomas Machac90¢ → 0¢ | $2,063 | −$2,063 −100% | 5 |
| 7d | andylovenba | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | BuyTomas Machac86¢ → 0¢ | $2,884 | −$2,884 −100% | 5 |
| 7d | jyben13 | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | SellTomas Machac68¢ → 0¢ | $1,223 | +$1,223 +100% | — |
| 7d |  SportsGuru | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | BuyTomas Machac55¢ → 0¢ | $1,017 | −$1,017 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | omnibus-076daa | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | BuyLiam Draxl54¢ → 100¢ | $2,892 | +$2,464 +85% | 6 |
| 7d | omnibus-076daa | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | BuyTomas Machac54¢ → 0¢ | $3,012 | −$3,012 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | SchruteBucks | Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl | BuyTomas Machac72¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
SportsGuru1,852 shares
Mother-Teresa637 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Liam Draxl in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Liam Draxl. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl means the market gives it about 0%.