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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | Nihaww | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | SellArthur Gea>99¢ | $3,449 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Wide-Swordfish-Latitude | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | SellArthur Gea>99¢ | $1,281 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | HomeRunHazard | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BuyArthur Gea95¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$76 +5.3% | 4 |
| 25d | sk6200 | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | SellArthur Gea92¢ → 100¢ | $1,732 | −$151 −8.7% | — |
| 25d | _test_i075_i078_1 | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 2 Winner | BuyArthur Gea79¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$529 +27% | 5 |
| 25d | Kkunn | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BuyTomas Machac23¢ → 0¢ | $2,681 | −$2,681 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Exalted-Evocation | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BuyArthur Gea79¢ → 100¢ | $3,263 | +$867 +27% | 5 |
| 25d | User.0xE | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | SellArthur Gea79¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | −$315 −27% | — |
| 25d | Ghipolito2 fills | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BuyTomas Machac40¢ → 0¢ | $2,800 | −$2,800 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Gaditima | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BuyArthur Gea60¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$718 +67% | 6 |
| 25d |  Kangta8585 | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BuyArthur Gea60¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$913 +66% | 4 |
| 25d | DrStatistics | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BuyArthur Gea59¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | +$822 +70% | 4 |
| 25d | RDXR | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BuyTomas Machac43¢ → 0¢ | $1,855 | −$1,855 −100% | 4 |
| 25d | Nihaww | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BuyArthur Gea57¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$1,484 +75% | 4 |
| 25d | JAMJAMJAM4 | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BuyArthur Gea57¢ → 100¢ | $2,001 | +$1,509 +75% | 4 |
| 25d | xabidaking | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BuyArthur Gea57¢ → 100¢ | $2,918 | +$2,201 +75% | 4 |
| 25d | askilika2 fills | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BuyTomas Machac45¢ → 0¢ | $5,078 | −$5,078 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Arthur Gea in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Arthur Gea. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea means the market gives it about 0%.
