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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Game Spread +/-2.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 Winner | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | jyben13 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | SellKaren Khachanov>99¢ | $1,126 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | madkkee | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | SellKaren Khachanov>99¢ | $5,549 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 1d |  oya64 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | SellKaren Khachanov>99¢ | $1,749 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | Kkunn | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | SellKaren Khachanov>99¢ | $20,669 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing2 fills | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyTomas Machac53¢ → 0¢ | $3,543 | −$3,543 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | Reliable-Giggle | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyTomas Machac48¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | babylon05 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | SellKaren Khachanov35¢ → 100¢ | $2,858 | −$5,308 −186% | — |
| 1d | nat08 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | SellTomas Machac64¢ → 0¢ | $2,240 | +$2,240 +100% | — |
| 1d | Eddd1x | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyTomas Machac62¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | Kkunn2 fills | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov58¢ → 100¢ | $11,961 | +$8,729 +73% | 6 |
| 1d | User7429 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov52¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | +$1,333 +92% | 6 |
| 1d | Salad1 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | SellKaren Khachanov52¢ → 100¢ | $2,960 | −$2,732 −92% | — |
| 1d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | SellTomas Machac30¢ → 0¢ | $1,143 | +$1,143 +100% | — |
| 1d | redvinny | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | SellKaren Khachanov76¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | −$613 −32% | — |
| 1d | redvinny | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov70¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | +$667 +43% | 6 |
| 1d | redvinny4 fills | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | SellTomas Machac69¢ → 0¢ | $8,773 | +$8,773 +100% | — |
| 1d | redvinny5 fills | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyTomas Machac60¢ → 0¢ | $6,688 | −$6,688 −100% | 6 |
| 1d |  PlatinumGoofy | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov30¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | +$3,625 +233% | 6 |
| 1d | karan84 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | SellKaren Khachanov53¢ → 100¢ | $2,612 | −$2,316 −89% | — |
| 1d | insole.morsels | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov58¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | +$1,470 +72% | 6 |
| 1d | omnibus-076daa5 fills | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov63¢ → 100¢ | $48,271 | +$28,801 +60% | 6 |
| 1d |  noosh3 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov51¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$4,804 +96% | 6 |
| 1d | AmericaFirst1 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov51¢ → 100¢ | $4,781 | +$4,671 +98% | 6 |
| 1d | 1337zzz1337 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov51¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,441 +96% | 6 |
| 1d | TinaGoat | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov50¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$1,100 +100% | 6 |
| 1d | adururu | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov50¢ → 100¢ | $4,902 | +$4,902 +100% | 6 |
| 1d | oxe78sh4w98 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov50¢ → 100¢ | $4,902 | +$4,902 +100% | 6 |
| 1d |  tiger105 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov50¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$10,008 +100% | 6 |
| 1d | astapzippo2 fills | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov53¢ → 100¢ | $2,364 | +$2,136 +90% | 6 |
| 1d | Jooboo123 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | SellKaren Khachanov47¢ → 100¢ | $2,443 | −$2,755 −113% | — |
| 1d | 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyTomas Machac63¢ → 0¢ | $4,523 | −$4,523 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | HomeRunHazard | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyTomas Machac67¢ → 0¢ | $1,938 | −$1,938 −100% | 6 |
| 1d |  SportsGuru | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyTomas Machac47¢ → 0¢ | $1,465 | −$1,465 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | UpTheBlues | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyTomas Machac47¢ → 0¢ | $1,042 | −$1,042 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | Salad1 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov54¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | +$1,840 +85% | 6 |
| 1d | Arcus-AI | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | SellKaren Khachanov53¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | −$940 −89% | — |
| 1d | omnibus-076daa | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyTomas Machac43¢ → 0¢ | $3,354 | −$3,354 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | neutralwave23 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 Winner | SellTomas Machac>99¢ | $1,212 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | UpTheBlues7 fills | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov76¢ → 100¢ | $11,364 | +$3,674 +32% | 6 |
| 2d | Jooboo123 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov90¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$400 +11% | 5 |
| 2d | babylon05 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov90¢ → 100¢ | $2,328 | +$259 +11% | 5 |
| 2d | HomeRunHazard | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov82¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | +$390 +22% | 5 |
| 2d | johnevergreen2 fills | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov57¢ → 100¢ | $2,635 | +$1,988 +75% | 6 |
| 2d | madkkee | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov70¢ → 100¢ | $3,888 | +$1,666 +43% | 6 |
| 2d | Flaznorp | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov70¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$623 +43% | 6 |
| 2d | Flaznorp | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyTomas Machac31¢ → 0¢ | $1,059 | −$1,059 −100% | 6 |
| 2d | ferrariChampions2026 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyTomas Machac31¢ → 0¢ | $1,228 | −$1,228 −100% | 6 |
| 2d |  88M2 fills | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Game Spread +/-2.5 | BuyKaren Khachanov57¢ → 100¢ | $3,730 | +$2,814 +75% | 6 |
| 2d | Spotless-Girlfriend | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov72¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$534 +38% | 6 |
| 2d | beeemw | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov71¢ → 100¢ | $8,520 | +$3,480 +41% | 6 |
| 2d | n1ck10s | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov72¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$482 +39% | 6 |
| 2d | karan84 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov72¢ → 100¢ | $3,548 | +$1,380 +39% | 6 |
| 2d | Jackcc2 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov72¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$428 +39% | 6 |
| 2d | kahe | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov71¢ → 100¢ | $8,523 | +$3,481 +41% | 6 |
| 2d | ferrariChampions2026 | Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov69¢ → 100¢ | $7,255 | +$3,259 +45% | 4 |
SportsGuru3,117 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Karen Khachanov in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Karen Khachanov. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov means the market gives it about 0%.