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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | 50% | +9 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 Winner | 50% | +6 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +12 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +8 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | −25 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +23 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +5 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | −7 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | −1 pts | — | 50¢ · 50¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167d | RafaelGontero | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev50¢ | $1,017 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 167d | rndmb3 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev50¢ | $2,385 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 168d | AceOfBase777 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev50¢ | $1,015 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 168d | Crimis1mio | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev51¢ → 50¢ | $1,100 | −$22 −2.0% | 6 |
| 168d | rndmb3 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev51¢ → 50¢ | $2,433 | −$48 −2.0% | 6 |
| 168d | 0x5bc3…7a59 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | SellTomas Machac49¢ → 50¢ | $2,028 | −$41 −2.0% | — |
| 168d | Quarterly-Outset | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev50¢ | $2,099 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 168d | grinlorber9 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev51¢ → 50¢ | $12,033 | −$236 −2.0% | 6 |
| 168d | EliseHulde905474 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev51¢ → 50¢ | $5,335 | −$105 −2.0% | 6 |
| 168d | Stavenson3 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyTomas Machac44¢ → 50¢ | $14,366 | +$1,981 +14% | 6 |
| 168d | 0x5bc3…7a59 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyTomas Machac47¢ → 50¢ | $1,259 | +$80 +6.4% | 6 |
| 168d | RafaelGontero | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev59¢ → 50¢ | $1,200 | −$183 −15% | 6 |
| 168d | jeffersonlau | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev59¢ → 50¢ | $3,434 | −$524 −15% | 6 |
| 168d | cumulus33 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev59¢ → 50¢ | $1,475 | −$225 −15% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Daniil Medvedev in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev means the market gives it about 50%.