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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur | 32% | — | — | 31¢ · 32¢ (1¢) | $21.3K | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | $121 | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 43% | — | — | 42¢ · 44¢ (2¢) | $35 | in 7d |
| Completed Match | 52% | — | — | 8¢ · 96¢ (88¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 Winner | 37% | — | — | 36¢ · 37¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 Winner | 65% | — | — | 32¢ · 97¢ (65¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 39% | — | — | 38¢ · 40¢ (2¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 78% | — | — | 76¢ · 79¢ (3¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 55% | — | — | 51¢ · 58¢ (7¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 28% | — | — | 27¢ · 30¢ (3¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | — | — | — · 96¢ | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | — | — | — · 96¢ | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | — | — | — · 96¢ | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 21.5 | 56% | — | — | 55¢ · 56¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | — | — | 47¢ · 48¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 23.5 | 43% | — | — | 41¢ · 44¢ (3¢) | — | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | ferrariChampions2026 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur69¢ | $8,533 | −$62 −0.7% | 24 |
| 2h | SineNooneEI | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur | BuyTomas Machac31¢ → 32¢ | $2,851 | +$14 +0.5% | 15 |
| 6h | ferrariChampions2026 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur | BuyTomas Machac30¢ → 32¢ | $1,916 | +$96 +5.0% | 11 |
VeryLucky8881,080 shares
Po1yamory716 shares
300PS699 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Alex de Minaur in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 32¢ for Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur means the market gives it about 32%.