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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 Winner | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 Winner | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43d | xabidaking | Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski | SellMaks Kasnikowski>99¢ | $3,678 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 43d |  DoShanna456818 | Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski | SellMaks Kasnikowski87¢ → 100¢ | $2,900 | −$433 −15% | — |
| 43d | DoShanna456818 | Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyMaks Kasnikowski60¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,333 +67% | 6 |
| 43d | xabidaking | Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyMaks Kasnikowski56¢ → 100¢ | $2,062 | +$1,620 +79% | 6 |
| 43d | 0x78be…bde05 fills | Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyFrancesco Maestrelli36¢ → 0¢ | $32,573 | −$32,573 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | tennistrader202 fills | Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyFrancesco Maestrelli37¢ → 0¢ | $3,706 | −$3,706 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | Brimoz | Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyFrancesco Maestrelli10¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | raybanman6 fills | Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyMaks Kasnikowski83¢ → 100¢ | $43,143 | +$9,024 +21% | 5 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Maks Kasnikowski in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Francesco Maestrelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski means the market gives it about 0%.