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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-2.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta96¢ → 100¢ | $1,687 | +$70 +4.1% | 4 |
| 25d | muglishainer | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta99¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 25d | Flaznorp | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta98¢ → 100¢ | $10,455 | +$170 +1.6% | 4 |
| 25d | UpTheBlues3 fills | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta79¢ → 100¢ | $6,105 | +$1,580 +26% | 5 |
| 25d | UpTheBlues | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyAdrian Mannarino52¢ → 0¢ | $1,324 | −$1,324 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | HomeRunHazard | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta68¢ → 100¢ | $2,357 | +$1,109 +47% | 6 |
Socialista1,000 shares
Endgamepol458 shares
Mother-Teresa420 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta means the market gives it about 0%.