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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $618K | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $4.49K | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $459 | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $200 | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $68.7 | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $17.5 | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $5 | in 6d |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19h | Vanaske | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $1,185 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 19h | robustmst | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $110,957 | −$111 −0.1% | — |
| 19h | Plain-Apparatus-Acre | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $22,449 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 19h | mntsdxs | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $1,625 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 20h | tennis-loser | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAdrian Mannarino98¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$39 +2.0% | 4 |
| 20h | UpTheBlues10 fills | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAdrian Mannarino64¢ → 100¢ | $21,056 | +$11,879 +56% | 9 |
| 20h | Substantial-Service | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAdrian Mannarino69¢ → 100¢ | $3,195 | +$1,436 +45% | 6 |
| 20h | Kkunn | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan31¢ → 0¢ | $4,425 | −$4,425 −100% | 7 |
| 20h | UpTheBlues4 fills | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan35¢ → 0¢ | $7,584 | −$7,584 −100% | 7 |
| 20h | ferrariChampions20264 fills | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan28¢ → 0¢ | $7,176 | −$7,176 −100% | 7 |
| 20h | HomeRunHazard | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan29¢ → 0¢ | $1,047 | −$1,047 −100% | 6 |
| 20h | thestingsnake | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | SellAdrian Mannarino81¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | −$385 −23% | — |
| 20h | Plain-Apparatus-Acre | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAdrian Mannarino89¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$2,472 +12% | 6 |
| 20h | HomeRunHazard3 fills | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAdrian Mannarino69¢ → 100¢ | $4,734 | +$2,081 +44% | 7 |
| 20h | ferdinand22 fills | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAdrian Mannarino68¢ → 100¢ | $3,419 | +$1,643 +48% | 6 |
| 20h | Luzzzer2 fills | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan41¢ → 0¢ | $20,376 | −$20,376 −100% | 9 |
| 20h | bestevertodoit | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan29¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 20h | 0x18ba…f577 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Set 1 Winner | SellAdrian Mannarino99¢ → 100¢ | $1,864 | −$19 −1.0% | — |
| 20h | 0x18ba…f577 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan Set 1 Winner | BuyAdrian Mannarino67¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$500 +49% | 24 |
| 20h | BaltazarGombka | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan55¢ → 0¢ | $1,851 | −$1,851 −100% | 6 |
| 21h | 01258787xy48487484545122 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAdrian Mannarino53¢ → 100¢ | $4,653 | +$4,127 +89% | 7 |
| 21h | Delirious-Summer | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan57¢ → 0¢ | $1,301 | −$1,301 −100% | 6 |
| 21h | robustmst4 fills | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAdrian Mannarino39¢ → 100¢ | $42,625 | +$66,721 +157% | 12 |
| 21h | 01258787xy48487484545122 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan62¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 7 |
| 21h | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAdrian Mannarino44¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$3,814 +127% | 6 |
| 1d | danmanud | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan60¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 5 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Alex Molcan in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Alex Molcan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan means the market gives it about 100%.