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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | 100% | +75 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 Winner | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +66 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-4.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 4d |
| Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 4d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | muchova19 | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $5,296 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | redvinny2 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino71¢ → 100¢ | $3,968 | +$1,587 +40% | 6 |
| 2d | JerOri | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 4 |
| 2d | eokho | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | SellAdrian Mannarino94¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$77 −6.4% | — |
| 2d | UpTheBlues8 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino50¢ → 100¢ | $15,498 | +$15,778 +102% | 6 |
| 2d | Luzzzer | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | SellAdrian Mannarino94¢ → 100¢ | $5,967 | −$381 −6.4% | — |
| 2d | Petty-Frame | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino98¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$26 +2.0% | 4 |
| 2d | muchova192 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino94¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$302 +6.0% | 4 |
| 2d | Momo63 | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino96¢ → 100¢ | $6,153 | +$256 +4.2% | 4 |
| 2d | andylovenba | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino92¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | +$184 +8.7% | 5 |
| 2d | Sad-Help2 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | SellAdrian Mannarino65¢ → 100¢ | $2,392 | −$1,308 −55% | — |
| 2d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino59¢ → 100¢ | $3,073 | +$2,104 +68% | 6 |
| 2d | HomeRunHazard | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev60¢ → 0¢ | $1,173 | −$1,173 −100% | 6 |
| 2d |  one8tyfive2 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino62¢ → 100¢ | $8,207 | +$5,030 +61% | 6 |
| 2d | alaskabaked3 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev60¢ → 0¢ | $7,000 | −$7,000 −100% | 6 |
| 2d | neutralwave23 | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | SellAndrey Rublev60¢ → 0¢ | $2,057 | +$2,057 +100% | — |
| 2d | jtwyslljy3 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | SellAndrey Rublev56¢ → 0¢ | $4,158 | +$4,158 +100% | — |
| 2d | UsagiMagi | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev54¢ → 0¢ | $3,144 | −$3,144 −100% | 6 |
| 2d | C63AMG | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev54¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 6 |
| 2d | jtwyslljy2 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev52¢ → 0¢ | $10,841 | −$10,841 −100% | 6 |
| 2d | esticamos | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | SellAdrian Mannarino34¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | −$2,020 −194% | — |
| 2d | esticamos | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino34¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$2,015 +193% | 6 |
| 2d | ferdinand22 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino42¢ → 100¢ | $2,204 | +$3,047 +138% | 6 |
| 2d | ferdinand22 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev62¢ → 0¢ | $3,485 | −$3,485 −100% | 6 |
| 2d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev62¢ → 0¢ | $3,512 | −$3,512 −100% | 6 |
| 2d | jyben13 | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev48¢ → 0¢ | $1,056 | −$1,056 −100% | 6 |
| 2d | Exalted-Evocation | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev48¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 2d | Sad-Help | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino44¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$1,400 +127% | 6 |
| 2d | redvinny3 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | SellAdrian Mannarino45¢ → 100¢ | $3,498 | −$4,275 −122% | — |
| 2d | Kkunn2 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev59¢ → 0¢ | $17,315 | −$17,315 −100% | 6 |
| 3d | Luzzzer | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino38¢ → 100¢ | $2,412 | +$3,936 +163% | 6 |
| 3d |  0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18 | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAdrian Mannarino38¢ → 100¢ | $1,839 | +$3,000 +163% | 6 |
| 3d | Flaznorp | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev58¢ → 0¢ | $1,308 | −$1,308 −100% | 6 |
| 3d | Saber-greed | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev55¢ → 0¢ | $1,026 | −$1,026 −100% | 6 |
| 3d | omnibus-076daa | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev55¢ → 0¢ | $17,718 | −$17,718 −100% | 6 |
| 3d | svelzao | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev76¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 3d | neutralwave23 | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev76¢ → 0¢ | $2,606 | −$2,606 −100% | 6 |
| 3d | StJames1 | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev76¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 3d |  OdileDeray | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev76¢ → 0¢ | $1,003 | −$1,003 −100% | 4 |
| 3d | Weebay | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev76¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 4 |
| 3d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev76¢ → 0¢ | $8,807 | −$8,807 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev means the market gives it about 100%.