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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 Winner | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +36 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 Winner | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +71 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | yohwowTheMagiccc | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $3,886 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Clawbangers | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $1,201 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | phredmoz | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $3,518 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 27d |  Kangta8585 | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $1,387 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Admired-Chaos | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $1,218 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | xabidaking2 fills | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $9,360 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Rich-Calf | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov97¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$95 +3.2% | 4 |
| 27d | Antblack2 fills | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | SellDenis Shapovalov94¢ → 100¢ | $16,227 | −$1,034 −6.4% | — |
| 27d | Unfortunate-Liver | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | SellDenis Shapovalov94¢ → 100¢ | $4,395 | −$281 −6.4% | — |
| 27d | nuuki | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | SellDenis Shapovalov91¢ → 100¢ | $2,319 | −$229 −9.9% | — |
| 27d | Unfortunate-Liver | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov60¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$1,875 +67% | 6 |
| 27d | Ghipolito | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyAdrian Mannarino43¢ → 0¢ | $1,833 | −$1,833 −100% | 6 |
| 27d | Reliable-Giggle2 fills | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyAdrian Mannarino34¢ → 0¢ | $3,870 | −$3,870 −100% | 6 |
| 27d | xabidaking | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov67¢ → 100¢ | $6,251 | +$3,118 +50% | 6 |
| 27d | Antblack2 fills | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov58¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$7,261 +73% | 6 |
| 27d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov57¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$3,365 +75% | 6 |
| 27d | RebornAthena | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov52¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,392 +93% | 6 |
| 27d | Flaznorp | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov49¢ → 100¢ | $7,656 | +$7,969 +104% | 6 |
| 27d | UpTheBlues | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov49¢ → 100¢ | $5,300 | +$5,516 +104% | 6 |
| 27d | Kkunn | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov58¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$2,915 +73% | 6 |
| 27d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyAdrian Mannarino51¢ → 0¢ | $2,354 | −$2,354 −100% | 6 |
| 27d | phredmoz | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov53¢ → 100¢ | $1,866 | +$1,655 +89% | 6 |
| 27d | Unlined-Brownie | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov54¢ → 100¢ | $9,094 | +$7,747 +85% | 6 |
| 27d | Exalted-Evocation | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyAdrian Mannarino63¢ → 0¢ | $2,600 | −$2,600 −100% | 6 |
| 27d |  88M | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov37¢ → 100¢ | $3,820 | +$6,505 +170% | 6 |
| 27d | Reliable-Giggle | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | SellAdrian Mannarino63¢ → 0¢ | $1,844 | +$1,844 +100% | — |
| 27d | Tobias1909 | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | SellAdrian Mannarino64¢ → 0¢ | $3,652 | +$3,652 +100% | — |
| 27d | primetoughness | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyAdrian Mannarino34¢ → 0¢ | $2,743 | −$2,743 −100% | 6 |
| 27d | neutralwave23 | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov65¢ → 100¢ | $2,365 | +$1,273 +54% | 6 |
| 27d | Laoxiong | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov66¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$935 +52% | 6 |
| 27d | Nikos888 | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyAdrian Mannarino35¢ → 0¢ | $1,197 | −$1,197 −100% | 6 |
| 27d | Tobias1909 | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyAdrian Mannarino32¢ → 0¢ | $4,691 | −$4,691 −100% | 6 |
| 27d | ChallengerSpecialist | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov72¢ → 100¢ | $2,130 | +$828 +39% | 6 |
| 27d | Kangta8585 | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov72¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$389 +39% | 6 |
| 28d | 0xa0f2…1848 | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BuyDenis Shapovalov70¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$571 +43% | 4 |
TRCM1,087 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Denis Shapovalov in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov means the market gives it about 0%.