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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cervia: Lilian Marmousez vs Federico Bondioli | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Cervia: Lilian Marmousez vs Federico Bondioli Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | −11 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Cervia: Lilian Marmousez vs Federico Bondioli Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +10 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Cervia: Lilian Marmousez vs Federico Bondioli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +1 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Cervia: Lilian Marmousez vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +3 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Cervia: Lilian Marmousez vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | −18 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cervia: Lilian Marmousez vs Federico Bondioli Set 1 Winner | 50% | −1 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Cervia: Lilian Marmousez vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +19 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Cervia: Lilian Marmousez vs Federico Bondioli Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | −4 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158d | 0xb0E43B885657a33B347A4af1D05Bd5f3c3A7E992 fills | Cervia: Lilian Marmousez vs Federico Bondioli | BuyFederico Bondioli46¢ → 50¢ | $3,374 | +$333 +9.9% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Federico Bondioli in the Cervia, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Federico Bondioli. This market will resolve to 'Federico Bondioli' if Federico Bondioli advances against Lilian Marmousez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Cervia: Lilian Marmousez vs Federico Bondioli means the market gives it about 50%.