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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78d | entropy-py | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $10,525 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | Numb-Ramie | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $2,629 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | blinki | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $2,018 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | hihhe | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $10,759 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | mentrox | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $2,243 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | Cbrojasg | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,647 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | Showy-Emergence | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | hurrican | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi99¢ → 100¢ | $11,190 | −$113 −1.0% | — |
| 78d |  LarryDaddy2 fills | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi86¢ → 100¢ | $23,999 | −$3,797 −16% | — |
| 78d | Cbrojasg | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi91¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$148 +9.9% | 5 |
| 78d | Faithful-Jazz | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi94¢ → 100¢ | $4,700 | +$307 +6.5% | 4 |
| 78d | LarryDaddy2 fills | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi93¢ → 100¢ | $19,900 | +$1,533 +7.7% | 4 |
| 78d | xabidaking | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi91¢ → 100¢ | $1,531 | −$151 −9.9% | — |
| 78d | googsg | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi92¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$104 +8.7% | 5 |
| 78d | hurrican2 fills | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi90¢ → 100¢ | $10,153 | +$1,150 +11% | 5 |
| 78d | LarryDaddy | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellFabian Marozsan13¢ → 0¢ | $2,507 | +$2,507 +100% | — |
| 78d | vgybhu | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellFabian Marozsan67¢ → 0¢ | $3,350 | +$3,350 +100% | — |
| 78d | swisstony | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi31¢ → 100¢ | $2,235 | +$4,909 +220% | 6 |
| 78d | vgybhu2 fills | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi33¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | −$6,700 −203% | — |
| 78d | mamee2 | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellFabian Marozsan69¢ → 0¢ | $4,968 | +$4,968 +100% | — |
| 78d | mamee2 | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan70¢ → 0¢ | $5,278 | −$5,278 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | Fitting-Cornmeal | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan45¢ → 0¢ | $3,200 | −$3,200 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | tennischamp | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellFabian Marozsan32¢ → 0¢ | $10,346 | +$10,346 +100% | — |
| 79d | Reflecting-Packaging | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi55¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$1,064 +82% | 6 |
| 79d | ferrariChampions2026 | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 Winner | BuyMarozsan65¢ → 0¢ | $1,472 | −$1,472 −100% | 6 |
| 79d | LarryDaddy3 fills | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan63¢ → 0¢ | $4,600 | −$4,600 −100% | 6 |
| 79d | Afh1994 | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellFabian Marozsan58¢ → 0¢ | $2,222 | +$2,222 +100% | — |
| 79d | Substantial-Service | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi36¢ → 100¢ | $4,781 | +$8,500 +178% | 6 |
| 79d | tennischamp2 fills | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan65¢ → 0¢ | $20,106 | −$20,106 −100% | 6 |
| 79d | dummyricher | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellFabian Marozsan57¢ → 0¢ | $2,230 | +$2,230 +100% | — |
| 79d | dummyricher | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan50¢ → 0¢ | $1,957 | −$1,957 −100% | 6 |
| 79d | Afh1994 | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan66¢ → 0¢ | $2,497 | −$2,497 −100% | 6 |
| 79d | comon119 | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan59¢ → 0¢ | $2,360 | −$2,360 −100% | 6 |
| 79d | Follow555 | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan59¢ → 0¢ | $1,453 | −$1,453 −100% | 6 |
| 79d | Hunter33 | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan59¢ → 0¢ | $1,453 | −$1,453 −100% | 6 |
| 79d | dv-pm | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan58¢ → 0¢ | $2,907 | −$2,907 −100% | 6 |
| 79d | ferrariChampions2026 | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan57¢ → 0¢ | $14,110 | −$14,110 −100% | 6 |
| 79d | kokotus | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan57¢ → 0¢ | $4,351 | −$4,351 −100% | 6 |
| 79d | fastball67 | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan57¢ → 0¢ | $11,400 | −$11,400 −100% | 4 |
| 79d | AV23IUa | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi43¢ → 100¢ | $3,812 | +$5,053 +133% | 4 |
| 79d | Bagwell306 | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi42¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$1,450 +138% | 4 |
| 79d | Portly-Derivation3 fills | National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyFabian Marozsan58¢ → 0¢ | $11,554 | −$11,554 −100% | 4 |
one8tyfive13,226 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Matteo Arnaldi in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi means the market gives it about 0%.