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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski Game Spread +/-4.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | SellMaks Kasnikowski>99¢ | $1,203 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 47d | Runemup | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | SellMaks Kasnikowski>99¢ | $9,926 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 47d | 0x02fd…104c | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | SellMaks Kasnikowski75¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | −$464 −33% | — |
| 47d | Flaznorp | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyMaks Kasnikowski68¢ → 100¢ | $1,805 | +$849 +47% | 6 |
| 47d |  TRCM | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyMaks Kasnikowski50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 6 |
| 47d | soukaev | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyMaks Kasnikowski50¢ → 100¢ | $18,215 | +$18,073 +99% | 6 |
| 47d | eokho | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | SellIvan Marrero52¢ → 0¢ | $1,151 | +$1,151 +100% | — |
| 47d | ferrariChampions2026 | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyIvan Marrero84¢ → 0¢ | $1,414 | −$1,414 −100% | 5 |
| 47d | eokho | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyIvan Marrero91¢ → 0¢ | $2,004 | −$2,004 −100% | 5 |
| 47d | Runner12 | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | SellIvan Marrero77¢ → 0¢ | $1,318 | +$1,318 +100% | — |
| 47d | Runemup | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyMaks Kasnikowski47¢ → 100¢ | $4,651 | +$5,285 +114% | 6 |
| 47d | tennistrader20 | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | SellIvan Marrero44¢ → 0¢ | $5,162 | +$5,162 +100% | — |
| 47d | tennistrader20 | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyIvan Marrero46¢ → 0¢ | $5,408 | −$5,408 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Marrero and Maks Kasnikowski in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Marrero' if Ivan Marrero advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Ivan Marrero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski means the market gives it about 0%.