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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Set 1 Winner | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Set 2 Winner | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115d | bistrii | Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin | SellJuan Martin>99¢ | $1,129 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 115d | Numb-Ramie | Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin | BuyNiels McDonald56¢ → 0¢ | $3,492 | −$3,492 −100% | 6 |
| 115d | ferrariChampions2026 | Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin | BuyJuan Martin42¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | +$2,200 +138% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Niels McDonald and Juan Martin in the Milan, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niels McDonald' if Niels McDonald advances against Juan Martin. This market will resolve to 'Juan Martin' if Juan Martin advances against Niels McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Milan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin means the market gives it about 0%.