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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 Winner | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −66 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130d | swisstony2 fills | Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki89¢ → 100¢ | $3,678 | +$446 +12% | 4 |
| 130d | thestingsnake | Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki | SellShintaro Mochizuki75¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | −$394 −33% | — |
This market refers to the tennis match between Mackenzie McDonald and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Nottingham 2, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mackenzie McDonald' if Mackenzie McDonald advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Mackenzie McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki means the market gives it about 0%.