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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Game Spread +/-5.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 1 Winner | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | name-no-name | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $2,815 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | beeemw | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $54,031 | −$54 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Winerius | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,011 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | VanGenGrom | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,102 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Spotted-Oak2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev99¢ → 100¢ | $35,376 | +$489 +1.4% | 4 |
| 12d | Putrid-Hippopotamus | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,300 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 12d | yupiiiiiiiii2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $7,588 | −$15 −0.2% | — |
| 12d |  Lanilo | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,525 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | yupiiiiiiiii | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $11,722 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 12d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | SellDaniil Medvedev99¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 12d | rev28 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 12d |  hd777 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev99¢ → 100¢ | $2,676 | +$27 +1.0% | 4 |
| 12d | Momo63 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev99¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$14 +1.1% | 4 |
| 12d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev96¢ → 100¢ | $2,119 | +$88 +4.2% | 4 |
| 12d | Rwa-lxya | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | SellDaniil Medvedev95¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | −$60 −5.3% | — |
| 12d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev94¢ → 100¢ | $10,710 | +$680 +6.3% | 4 |
| 12d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev93¢ → 100¢ | $3,428 | +$271 +7.9% | 4 |
| 12d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev95¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$67 +5.4% | 4 |
| 12d | aff3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev93¢ → 100¢ | $8,987 | +$676 +7.5% | 4 |
| 12d | pacopaquitopaco | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev94¢ → 100¢ | $2,509 | +$160 +6.4% | 4 |
| 12d | wyshooting | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 5 |
| 12d |  Kangta8585 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyDaniil Medvedev68¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$461 +46% | 6 |
| 12d | Poolymath | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$220 +12% | 5 |
| 12d | beeemw | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev89¢ → 100¢ | $38,489 | +$4,757 +12% | 5 |
| 12d | Spotless-Girlfriend | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyDaniil Medvedev68¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$691 +48% | 6 |
| 12d | alldaytrading | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev88¢ → 100¢ | $1,494 | +$204 +14% | 5 |
| 12d | name-no-name | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev88¢ → 100¢ | $2,480 | +$338 +14% | 5 |
| 12d | Lanilo | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev88¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | +$183 +14% | 5 |
| 12d | tennischamp6 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev88¢ → 100¢ | $48,371 | +$6,596 +14% | 5 |
| 12d | Rwa-lxya | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev87¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$156 +15% | 5 |
| 12d | omnibus-076daa | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev87¢ → 100¢ | $2,057 | +$307 +15% | 5 |
| 12d | 0000. | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyDaniil Medvedev68¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$2,889 +48% | 4 |
| 12d | Winerius | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev87¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$224 +15% | 4 |
| 12d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev86¢ → 100¢ | $4,595 | +$748 +16% | 4 |
| 12d | Calm-Backburn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina | BuyDaniil Medvedev86¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$163 +16% | 4 |
RN18,834 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Dalibor Svrcina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Dalibor Svrcina. This market will resolve to 'Dalibor Svrcina' if Dalibor Svrcina advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina means the market gives it about 100%.