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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Game Spread +/-2.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 Winner | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 Winner | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d |  Kangta8585 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,457 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | babylon05 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $2,688 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | zxc3687 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $48,169 | +$48 +0.1% | 4 |
| 9d | 18275757824 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $288,848 | −$289 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | madkkee | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $20,591 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | MilesY | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,244 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | StJames1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $3,648 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | Momo63 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev99¢ → 100¢ | $27,729 | +$224 +0.8% | 4 |
| 9d | suntori | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellDaniil Medvedev97¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | −$45 −3.0% | — |
| 9d | redvinny | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellDaniil Medvedev97¢ → 100¢ | $14,359 | −$444 −3.1% | — |
| 9d | andylovenba | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev98¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | +$27 +2.0% | 4 |
| 9d | Petty-Frame | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev98¢ → 100¢ | $2,900 | +$59 +2.0% | 4 |
| 9d | HomeRunHazard4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev82¢ → 100¢ | $7,107 | +$1,547 +22% | 5 |
| 9d | redvinny3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev85¢ → 100¢ | $5,644 | +$1,022 +18% | 5 |
| 9d | Flaznorp2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev80¢ → 100¢ | $6,585 | +$1,607 +24% | 5 |
| 9d | nuuki | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas20¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | xabidaking2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas13¢ → 0¢ | $4,900 | −$4,900 −100% | 6 |
| 9d |  Yellow-Fever | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas19¢ → 0¢ | $1,075 | −$1,075 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | UpTheBlues10 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev83¢ → 100¢ | $32,874 | +$6,745 +21% | 5 |
| 9d | MilesY | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev84¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$199 +19% | 5 |
| 9d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas16¢ → 0¢ | $2,137 | −$2,137 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | Polyplayer14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas16¢ → 0¢ | $5,800 | −$5,800 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | 18275757828 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev88¢ → 100¢ | $95,339 | +$13,195 +14% | 5 |
| 9d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas15¢ → 0¢ | $1,021 | −$1,021 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas10¢ → 0¢ | $1,911 | −$1,911 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | Substantial-Service2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas11¢ → 0¢ | $27,304 | −$27,304 −100% | 6 |
| 9d |  0xwise | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas35¢ → 0¢ | $1,584 | −$1,584 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas33¢ → 0¢ | $5,220 | −$5,220 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | 0xdeff…78f8 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas58¢ → 0¢ | $1,405 | −$1,405 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | Spotless-Girlfriend | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev68¢ → 100¢ | $2,980 | +$1,402 +47% | 6 |
| 10d | 1337zzz1337 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev68¢ → 100¢ | $6,500 | +$3,059 +47% | 6 |
| 10d | mschaib | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev68¢ → 100¢ | $15,492 | +$7,290 +47% | 6 |
| 10d |  Arnus | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 23.5 | BuyOver48¢ → 0¢ | $1,240 | −$1,240 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | StJames1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev68¢ → 100¢ | $2,483 | +$1,168 +47% | 6 |
| 10d | luckybanks | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyDaniil Medvedev68¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | +$573 +47% | 6 |
| 11d | Dual-Criticism | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas31¢ → 0¢ | $3,809 | −$3,809 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas means the market gives it about 100%.