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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Set 1 Winner | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71d | madkkee | Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer | SellLukas Neumayer>99¢ | $3,108 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | swisstony2 fills | Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyLukas Neumayer80¢ → 100¢ | $7,786 | +$1,915 +25% | 5 |
| 71d | Fuzzy-Patience-Parent | Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer | SellLukas Neumayer43¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | −$2,105 −133% | — |
| 71d | 0x3556…af4f | Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyDaniel Michalski57¢ → 0¢ | $1,511 | −$1,511 −100% | 6 |
| 71d | Fuzzy-Patience-Parent | Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyLukas Neumayer39¢ → 100¢ | $1,441 | +$2,253 +156% | 12 |
| 71d | madkkee | Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyLukas Neumayer68¢ → 100¢ | $2,115 | +$996 +47% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Lukas Neumayer in the Todi, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Michalski' if Daniel Michalski advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Daniel Michalski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer means the market gives it about 0%.