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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 0% | −65 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 38.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 100% | +77 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 36.5 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 Winner | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 Winner | 100% | +35 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 40.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +27 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 Winner | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +70 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49d |  wzyzj | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellAlex Michelsen>99¢ | $1,010 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | football-king | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellAlex Michelsen>99¢ | $2,793 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 49d |  Mr.Kirk | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellAlex Michelsen>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | suntori | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellAlex Michelsen>99¢ | $1,243 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | Generous-Burning | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellAlex Michelsen>99¢ | $3,122 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | mm12310 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellAlex Michelsen>99¢ | $1,663 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | AnonymousPerson | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen>99¢ | $5,897 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 49d |  hd777 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen99¢ → 100¢ | $27,452 | +$404 +1.5% | 4 |
| 49d | hanlun | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen98¢ → 100¢ | $4,647 | +$109 +2.4% | 4 |
| 49d | tennistrader20 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellAlex Michelsen95¢ → 100¢ | $53,817 | −$2,600 −4.8% | — |
| 49d | Flaznorp6 fills | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen68¢ → 100¢ | $24,926 | +$11,761 +47% | 6 |
| 49d | whosay | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen95¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | +$105 +5.3% | 4 |
| 49d | football-king | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen93¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$196 +7.5% | 4 |
| 49d | sentrio3 fills | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen76¢ → 100¢ | $4,554 | +$1,423 +31% | 4 |
| 49d |  RN13 fills | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen90¢ → 100¢ | $9,342 | +$1,038 +11% | 5 |
| 49d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen86¢ → 100¢ | $9,786 | +$1,567 +16% | 5 |
| 49d |  tradecraft | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen89¢ → 100¢ | $13,036 | +$1,611 +12% | 5 |
| 49d | Flaznorp6 fills | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar31¢ → 0¢ | $18,336 | −$18,336 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | Substantial-Service2 fills | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar15¢ → 0¢ | $7,797 | −$7,797 −100% | 4 |
| 49d | 0b1 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen88¢ → 100¢ | $11,332 | +$1,545 +14% | 5 |
| 49d | k56 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen87¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$593 +15% | 5 |
| 49d | Reliable-Giggle | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar23¢ → 0¢ | $1,900 | −$1,900 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | MartelloneNando | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar23¢ → 0¢ | $1,340 | −$1,340 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | tennistrader203 fills | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen75¢ → 100¢ | $41,843 | +$14,116 +34% | 6 |
| 49d | MartelloneNando | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellAlex Michelsen73¢ → 100¢ | $1,293 | −$471 −36% | — |
| 49d | MartelloneNando | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen75¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$449 +34% | 6 |
| 49d | soukaev | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar31¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | madkkee | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen70¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$2,100 +43% | 6 |
| 49d | tennistrader20 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar29¢ → 0¢ | $6,563 | +$6,563 +100% | — |
| 49d | flatbarrel | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar29¢ → 0¢ | $1,763 | +$1,763 +100% | — |
| 49d | flatbarrel | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar31¢ → 0¢ | $3,564 | −$3,564 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | thestingsnake | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellAlex Michelsen69¢ → 100¢ | $2,279 | −$1,024 −45% | — |
| 49d | DAKWIN | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar28¢ → 0¢ | $2,521 | +$2,521 +100% | — |
| 49d | SchruteBucks | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellAlex Michelsen70¢ → 100¢ | $5,361 | −$2,298 −43% | — |
| 49d | DAKWIN | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar32¢ → 0¢ | $2,882 | −$2,882 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | SchruteBucks2 fills | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen45¢ → 100¢ | $3,910 | +$4,864 +124% | 6 |
| 49d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar40¢ → 0¢ | $10,955 | −$10,955 −100% | 4 |
| 49d |  PlatinumGoofy | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar39¢ → 0¢ | $1,609 | −$1,609 −100% | 6 |
| 49d |  TRCM2 fills | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen58¢ → 100¢ | $11,816 | +$8,589 +73% | 6 |
| 49d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen47¢ → 100¢ | $4,803 | +$5,311 +111% | 4 |
| 49d | flatbarrel2 fills | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellAlex Michelsen45¢ → 100¢ | $5,939 | −$7,148 −120% | — |
| 49d | tennistrader20 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar44¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | neutralwave23 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar42¢ → 0¢ | $1,845 | −$1,845 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | 0x78be…bde0 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar41¢ → 0¢ | $9,900 | −$9,900 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | flatbarrel | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen64¢ → 100¢ | $9,600 | +$5,400 +56% | 6 |
| 49d | jaytee158 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar38¢ → 0¢ | $2,675 | −$2,675 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | JAMJAMJAM4 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen63¢ → 100¢ | $1,744 | +$1,025 +59% | 6 |
| 49d | Sick-Backyard | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar37¢ → 0¢ | $2,870 | −$2,870 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | darec | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | BuyOver 3.567¢ → 0¢ | $3,706 | −$3,706 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | Generous-Burning | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen64¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,125 +56% | 6 |
| 49d | Stable-Armament | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen64¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$11,250 +56% | 6 |
| 49d | Eddd1x | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen64¢ → 100¢ | $2,369 | +$1,333 +56% | 6 |
| 49d | RanaAmariPredicts | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen64¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$4,500 +56% | 6 |
| 49d | gg22 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyAlex Michelsen63¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | +$969 +59% | 6 |
| 49d | Hungry--Hippo | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar38¢ → 0¢ | $2,120 | −$2,120 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | jiiivi655 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar37¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | 0xe98c…8792 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar37¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | −$1,120 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar37¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 49d | yohan75 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | BuyOver 3.568¢ → 0¢ | $3,900 | −$3,900 −100% | 6 |
| 50d |  nigiri99 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyMichelsen49¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$1,567 +105% | 6 |
ArturitoFilito52,916 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar means the market gives it about 100%.