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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Set 1 Winner | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +23 pts | — | 45¢ · 100¢ (55¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Set 2 Winner | 50% | +11 pts | — | — · 54¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +1 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | 01258787xy48487484545122 | Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien | BuyLuis Guto Miguel97¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$55 +3.2% | 4 |
| 10d | esticamos | Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien | SellLuis Guto Miguel91¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | −$132 −9.9% | — |
| 10d | VTL777 | Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien | BuyLuis Guto Miguel97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 4 |
| 10d | yesmate | Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien | BuyLuis Guto Miguel96¢ → 100¢ | $2,457 | +$102 +4.2% | 4 |
| 10d | lsiflsliggjriek2 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien | BuyLuis Guto Miguel90¢ → 100¢ | $26,403 | +$2,953 +11% | 5 |
| 10d | 0xdeff…78f8 | Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyMurkel Dellien59¢ → 50¢ | $1,051 | −$160 −15% | 6 |
poshposh3,293 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Luis Guto Miguel and Murkel Dellien in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Guto Miguel' if Luis Guto Miguel advances against Murkel Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Murkel Dellien' if Murkel Dellien advances against Luis Guto Miguel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien means the market gives it about 100%.