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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 1 Winner | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 2 Winner | 50% | +24 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | −3 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +1 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | −1 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | gr.ilya | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena | SellLuis Guto Miguel>99¢ | $2,280 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 23d |  laIaIalala | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena | SellLuis Guto Miguel>99¢ | $7,940 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 23d | neutralwave23 | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena | SellLuis Guto Miguel99¢ → 100¢ | $1,726 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 23d | 01258787xy484874845451222 fills | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena | BuyLuis Guto Miguel86¢ → 100¢ | $9,196 | +$1,497 +16% | 5 |
| 23d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena | BuyLuis Guto Miguel58¢ → 100¢ | $4,426 | +$3,242 +73% | 6 |
| 23d | gr.ilya | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena | BuyLuis Guto Miguel69¢ → 100¢ | $1,575 | +$708 +45% | 6 |
| 23d | Generous-Impudence | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena | BuyFacundo Mena31¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | Substantial-Service | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena | BuyLuis Guto Miguel65¢ → 100¢ | $29,137 | +$15,689 +54% | 6 |
| 23d | kkookkoo | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena | BuyFacundo Mena34¢ → 0¢ | $2,122 | −$2,122 −100% | 6 |
no1dodgersfan1,903 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Luis Guto Miguel and Facundo Mena in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Guto Miguel' if Luis Guto Miguel advances against Facundo Mena. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Luis Guto Miguel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena means the market gives it about 100%.