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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Game Spread +/-4.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | UpTheBlues | Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal | BuyLuka Mikrut96¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | +$117 +4.2% | 4 |
| 10d | Reliable-Giggle | Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal | BuySumit Nagal24¢ → 0¢ | $1,940 | −$1,940 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | UpTheBlues | Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal | BuySumit Nagal22¢ → 0¢ | $1,398 | −$1,398 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Mikrut and Sumit Nagal in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Sumit Nagal. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Luka Mikrut. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Maia: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal means the market gives it about 100%.