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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | 0% | −71 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 Winner | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 168d | r3d.blu3 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,294 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | hurrican | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $6,244 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | destropyer | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $3,820 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | Lucianvespertine100 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $3,727 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | TrumpPlugaru | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $10,023 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | DogecoinMillionaire | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $4,142 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | Afh1994 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellArnaldi>99¢ | $1,355 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | sentrio | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $3,285 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | Cooperlovesfood | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $3,017 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | sdfsfsdfsfeeeeeesd | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi99¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 168d | YuLoki | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi99¢ → 100¢ | $7,786 | −$79 −1.0% | — |
| 168d | Hard-Ironclad | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi95¢ → 100¢ | $4,338 | +$227 +5.2% | 4 |
| 168d | sdfsfsdfsfeeeeeesd | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 4 |
| 168d | Lucianvespertine100 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi98¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$56 +2.2% | 4 |
| 168d | swisstony7 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi80¢ → 100¢ | $20,151 | +$4,939 +25% | 5 |
| 168d | redvinny2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi95¢ → 100¢ | $2,111 | −$111 −5.3% | — |
| 168d | AhmedBob | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi84¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | −$211 −19% | — |
| 168d | OlimpoDRoger | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellAlex de Minaur15¢ → 0¢ | $1,249 | +$1,249 +100% | — |
| 168d | YuLoki2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi85¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$882 +18% | 5 |
| 168d |  tradecraft5 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi50¢ → 100¢ | $11,061 | +$11,131 +101% | 6 |
| 168d |  SpongeZZy | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellAlex de Minaur24¢ → 0¢ | $1,547 | +$1,547 +100% | — |
| 168d |  TRCM3 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur51¢ → 0¢ | $7,760 | −$7,760 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | RafaelGontero | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi78¢ → 100¢ | $1,905 | −$534 −28% | — |
| 168d | hurrican | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi80¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,250 +25% | 5 |
| 168d | Danimon | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$250 +25% | 5 |
| 168d | TRCM3 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi35¢ → 100¢ | $4,329 | +$7,976 +184% | 6 |
| 168d | tradecraft | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellAlex de Minaur64¢ → 0¢ | $1,314 | +$1,314 +100% | — |
| 168d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur70¢ → 0¢ | $11,266 | −$11,266 −100% | 4 |
| 168d | tradecraft | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur69¢ → 0¢ | $4,138 | −$4,138 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | Small-WheelNew account | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur60¢ → 0¢ | $1,912 | −$1,912 −100% | 15 |
| 168d | DogecoinMillionaire | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi43¢ → 100¢ | $1,783 | +$2,363 +133% | 6 |
| 168d | OlimpoDRoger | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur60¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 6 |
| 168d |  RN13 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi26¢ → 100¢ | $5,962 | +$17,018 +285% | 6 |
| 168d | Cooperlovesfood | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi39¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$1,721 +156% | 6 |
| 168d | DRB111 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur60¢ → 0¢ | $1,074 | −$1,074 −100% | 6 |
| 168d |  DCABC2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur72¢ → 0¢ | $7,256 | −$7,256 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | jyben13 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi39¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | −$1,926 −156% | — |
| 168d |  Mr.Ape | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellAlex de Minaur60¢ → 0¢ | $1,098 | +$1,098 +100% | — |
| 168d | Esteemed-Outline | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur81¢ → 0¢ | $2,800 | −$2,800 −100% | 5 |
| 168d | destropyer | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi20¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$4,000 +400% | 6 |
| 168d | SpongeZZy | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur80¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 5 |
| 168d |  leleo17 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur81¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 5 |
| 168d | HomeRunHazard | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur79¢ → 0¢ | $5,136 | −$5,136 −100% | 5 |
| 168d | swisstony3 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur70¢ → 0¢ | $4,363 | −$4,363 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | ofsid | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur76¢ → 0¢ | $1,499 | −$1,499 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | bruc333 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur82¢ → 0¢ | $1,332 | −$1,332 −100% | 5 |
| 168d | willlyouare | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur88¢ → 0¢ | $1,355 | −$1,355 −100% | 5 |
| 168d | 08AF2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur84¢ → 0¢ | $3,203 | −$3,203 −100% | 5 |
| 168d | 0Ebe | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur81¢ → 0¢ | $5,138 | −$5,138 −100% | 5 |
| 168d | Lne89 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur81¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 5 |
| 168d | balabalababalabala | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur79¢ → 0¢ | $1,580 | −$1,580 −100% | 5 |
| 168d | TRCM | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi34¢ → 100¢ | $1,630 | −$3,163 −194% | — |
| 168d | Exalted-Evocation | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur65¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | Artfulone | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur75¢ → 0¢ | $1,219 | −$1,219 −100% | 6 |
| 168d |  Kangta8585 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | WynnWaldorf | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur69¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 4 |
| 168d | sjqdhqsjgd65 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur69¢ → 0¢ | $2,035 | −$2,035 −100% | 4 |
| 168d |  sunflowaa | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi29¢ → 100¢ | $3,182 | +$7,790 +245% | 4 |
| 168d | cumulus33 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur72¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 4 |
| 168d | Bigboybandi | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyAlex de Minaur72¢ → 0¢ | $8,866 | −$8,866 −100% | 4 |
DCABC21,500 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Matteo Arnaldi in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi means the market gives it about 0%.