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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 Winner | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +68 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 Winner | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129d | abdulmuhamad | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $3,939 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 129d | Adelius | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,149 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 129d |  Guguta777 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,514 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 129d | neutralwave23 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,918 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 129d |  alpheclabs | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $7,455 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 129d | egg70 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $12,974 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 129d |  igot50k | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,052 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 129d | Petty-Frame | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,461 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 129d | Carrylicious | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | SellAlex de Minaur98¢ → 100¢ | $4,965 | −$101 −2.0% | — |
| 129d | swisstony4 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur89¢ → 100¢ | $11,848 | +$1,410 +12% | 5 |
| 129d | abdulmuhamad | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur96¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$143 +3.8% | 4 |
| 129d | Reasonable-Quota | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | SellAlex de Minaur92¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | −$101 −8.7% | — |
| 129d | 0xdc86…7e77 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur91¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$123 +9.9% | 5 |
| 129d | Grown-Victory | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | SellAlex de Minaur90¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | −$202 −11% | — |
| 129d | HomeRunHazard4 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur81¢ → 100¢ | $12,274 | +$2,902 +24% | 5 |
| 129d | Flimsy-Notebook4 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | SellAlex de Minaur82¢ → 100¢ | $9,863 | −$2,102 −21% | — |
| 129d |  TRCM | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur85¢ → 100¢ | $2,081 | +$370 +18% | 5 |
| 129d | Sick-Backyard | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyGabriel Diallo22¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 129d | Grown-Victory | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur79¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$425 +27% | 5 |
| 129d | kkookkoo | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyGabriel Diallo21¢ → 0¢ | $2,458 | −$2,458 −100% | 6 |
| 129d |  bigmac999 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur81¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$469 +23% | 5 |
| 129d | Rash-Copying2 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyGabriel Diallo22¢ → 0¢ | $18,607 | −$18,607 −100% | 12 |
| 130d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyGabriel Diallo28¢ → 0¢ | $3,784 | −$3,784 −100% | 6 |
| 130d | Eztennis2 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyGabriel Diallo35¢ → 0¢ | $12,148 | −$12,148 −100% | 6 |
| 130d | ferrariChampions2026 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur63¢ → 100¢ | $77,607 | +$45,579 +59% | 6 |
| 130d | tennistrader20 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyGabriel Diallo34¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 130d | timetowander | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyGabriel Diallo21¢ → 0¢ | $1,071 | −$1,071 −100% | 6 |
| 130d | Gripping-Wick | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyGabriel Diallo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,433 | −$1,433 −100% | 9 |
| 130d | TRCM | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyGabriel Diallo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
| 130d |  tradecraft | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyGabriel Diallo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
| 130d | neutralwave23 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur87¢ → 100¢ | $1,668 | +$253 +15% | 5 |
| 130d | Carrylicious | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur84¢ → 100¢ | $4,601 | +$876 +19% | 5 |
| 130d | egg70 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur84¢ → 100¢ | $10,883 | +$2,105 +19% | 5 |
| 130d | angelat02 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur81¢ → 100¢ | $3,649 | +$834 +23% | 5 |
| 132d | clikecew1 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo | BuyAlex de Minaur83¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | +$274 +20% | 4 |
4lem4,260 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Gabriel Diallo in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Gabriel Diallo. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo means the market gives it about 100%.