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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | kahe | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $25,867 | −$26 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | phredmoz | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $3,276 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | leohe | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,376 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | Exalted-Evocation | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $2,467 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | yeti2100 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 18d |  isco22 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $12,488 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | Clawbangers | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $2,060 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 18d |  1x2xx2556xx123 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $8,991 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | saltibiscoti | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,483 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | omnibus-076daa | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur99¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 18d | ggnw2 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner | BuyHubert Hurkacz10¢ → 50¢ | $2,518 | +$9,771 +388% | 6 |
| 18d | Momo632 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur96¢ → 100¢ | $16,901 | +$734 +4.3% | 4 |
| 18d | UpTheBlues2 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur96¢ → 100¢ | $2,749 | +$114 +4.1% | 4 |
| 18d | Clawbangers | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$62 +3.1% | 4 |
| 18d | Exalted-Evocation | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur81¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$469 +23% | 5 |
| 18d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyHubert Hurkacz13¢ → 0¢ | $1,336 | −$1,336 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | jtwyslljy | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyHubert Hurkacz18¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | redvinny | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | SellAlex de Minaur83¢ → 100¢ | $8,872 | −$1,817 −20% | — |
| 18d | Illiasca | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur82¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$329 +22% | 5 |
| 18d | redvinny2 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur80¢ → 100¢ | $4,433 | +$1,122 +25% | 5 |
| 18d | neutralwave23 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur78¢ → 100¢ | $13,822 | +$3,843 +28% | 5 |
| 18d | 1x2xx2556xx123 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur79¢ → 100¢ | $7,110 | +$1,890 +27% | 5 |
| 18d | saltibiscoti | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur82¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$256 +22% | 5 |
| 18d | phredmoz | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur85¢ → 100¢ | $2,796 | +$484 +17% | 5 |
| 19d | bgpowerx11 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur61¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | +$776 +64% | 6 |
| 19d | HectorHuang2 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyHubert Hurkacz42¢ → 0¢ | $29,800 | −$29,800 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | SellAlex de Minaur59¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | −$2,780 −69% | — |
| 19d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur59¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$2,780 +69% | 6 |
| 19d | Donghui2 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyHubert Hurkacz43¢ → 0¢ | $5,771 | −$5,771 −100% | 4 |
| 19d | askilika11 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur58¢ → 100¢ | $60,049 | +$43,665 +73% | 4 |
| 19d | kahe | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur56¢ → 100¢ | $14,500 | +$11,393 +79% | 4 |
| 19d | isco22 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyAlex de Minaur56¢ → 100¢ | $6,975 | +$5,525 +79% | 4 |
| 19d | SineNooneEI | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | BuyHubert Hurkacz44¢ → 0¢ | $2,867 | −$2,867 −100% | 4 |
no1dodgersfan8,732 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Hubert Hurkacz in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz means the market gives it about 100%.