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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +66 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 Winner | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +6 pts | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +43 pts | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +43 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | MilesY | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,717 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | qwewrasdzxffdfzvdfgdzhfdh | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $2,396 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | muchova19 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $3,583 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 11d |  Cloverince | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $2,702 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 11d | butilk | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 11d |  c4acap | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,425 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 11d | tennischamp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $47,150 | −$47 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | rrooster | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,369 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d |  xx21341asfd | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,508 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Total-Temporary | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,544 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | lhetorar | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $17,224 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 11d |  Aussieoioioi | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $8,359 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Leo626626 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,604 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | usaine | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $4,755 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | w... | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | littlebay | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,052 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | JerOri | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur96¢ → 100¢ | $6,547 | −$280 −4.3% | — |
| 11d | JerOri | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur92¢ → 100¢ | $6,287 | +$539 +8.6% | 4 |
| 11d | Total-Temporary | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur98¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$37 +2.5% | 4 |
| 11d | muchova19 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur98¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$86 +2.5% | 4 |
| 11d | dmoralez2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur89¢ → 100¢ | $9,445 | −$1,193 −13% | — |
| 11d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur97¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | −$52 −2.6% | — |
| 11d | dmoralez10 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur91¢ → 100¢ | $15,409 | +$1,548 +10% | 4 |
| 11d | Momo63 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur95¢ → 100¢ | $1,636 | +$83 +5.1% | 4 |
| 11d | Worrisome-Winery | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur96¢ → 100¢ | $8,500 | +$336 +4.0% | 4 |
| 11d | Leo626626 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur96¢ → 100¢ | $1,536 | +$69 +4.5% | 4 |
| 11d | UpTheBlues7 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur94¢ → 100¢ | $19,689 | +$1,357 +6.9% | 4 |
| 11d | Polyplayer14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur96¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$315 +4.5% | 4 |
| 11d | tennischamp5 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur95¢ → 100¢ | $51,565 | +$2,598 +5.0% | 4 |
| 11d | MilesY | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur83¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$206 +20% | 4 |
| 11d | User.0xE | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | SellAlex de Minaur81¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | −$285 −23% | — |
| 11d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur82¢ → 100¢ | $2,458 | +$542 +22% | 4 |
| 11d | usaine | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur62¢ → 100¢ | $2,933 | +$1,812 +62% | 4 |
| 11d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov42¢ → 0¢ | $4,186 | −$4,186 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov42¢ → 0¢ | $1,304 | −$1,304 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | lhetorar | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur57¢ → 100¢ | $2,432 | +$1,858 +76% | 4 |
| 11d | Aussieoioioi | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur55¢ → 100¢ | $4,602 | +$3,765 +82% | 4 |
| 11d | Spotless-Girlfriend | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov46¢ → 0¢ | $2,850 | −$2,850 −100% | 4 |
| 11d |  isco22 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur55¢ → 100¢ | $1,743 | +$1,426 +82% | 4 |
| 11d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov46¢ → 0¢ | $5,060 | −$5,060 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | Intrepid-Gingerbread-Hexagon | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov46¢ → 0¢ | $1,067 | −$1,067 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov46¢ → 0¢ | $1,840 | −$1,840 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | qwewrasdzxffdfzvdfgdzhfdh | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur55¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$1,079 +82% | 4 |
| 11d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyAlex de Minaur53¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$961 +89% | 4 |
| 11d | danmanud | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov48¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | 1234162 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov47¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 11d |  nigiri992 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov46¢ → 0¢ | $2,605 | −$2,605 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | Bagwell3063 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BuyKaren Khachanov46¢ → 0¢ | $3,450 | −$3,450 −100% | 4 |
lostwo1f15,680 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Karen Khachanov in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Karen Khachanov. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov means the market gives it about 100%.