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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | 50% | −21 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Game Spread +/-4.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Set 1 Winner | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Set 2 Winner | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d | MrClaude11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan33¢ → 50¢ | $1,067 | +$537 +50% | 4 |
| 15d | Absolyutno-pohuy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Game Spread +/-4.5 | BuyAlex de Minaur46¢ → 50¢ | $2,355 | +$215 +9.1% | 4 |
| 15d | Absolyutno-pohuy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan31¢ → 50¢ | $3,460 | +$2,095 +61% | 4 |
| 15d |  VeryLucky888 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 50¢ | $1,420 | −$420 −30% | 4 |
| 15d |  fRibrenlc | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan29¢ → 50¢ | $2,509 | +$1,817 +72% | 4 |
| 15d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex de Minaur72¢ → 50¢ | $18,013 | −$5,424 −30% | 4 |
| 15d | 0x755a…82c4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyAlex Molcan51¢ → 50¢ | $1,000 | −$16 −1.6% | 4 |
| 15d | Horrible-Recording | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan29¢ → 50¢ | $1,450 | +$1,050 +72% | 4 |
| 15d | omnibus-076daa11 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan29¢ → 50¢ | $20,129 | +$14,034 +70% | 4 |
| 15d |  KioskJammer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 50¢ | $3,053 | −$903 −30% | 4 |
| 15d |  KenSama2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan29¢ → 50¢ | $3,387 | +$2,453 +72% | 4 |
| 15d | 0x45h04fd5454fdfd4f5d4fdfef7 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan29¢ → 50¢ | $1,297 | +$939 +72% | 4 |
| 15d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 50¢ | $7,084 | −$2,067 −29% | 4 |
| 15d | Flaznorp4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 50¢ | $5,595 | −$1,652 −30% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Alex Molcan in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Alex Molcan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan means the market gives it about 50%.