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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | 0% | −70 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −66 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126d |  ForAndWithYou | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $1,716 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 126d | bistrii | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $4,589 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 126d | shalegend | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $1,348 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 126d | bistrii | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $2,088 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 126d | swisstony3 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima86¢ → 100¢ | $4,511 | +$718 +16% | 5 |
| 126d |  tradecraft3 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima69¢ → 100¢ | $4,709 | +$2,122 +45% | 6 |
| 126d | J43u54y325 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima94¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | −$101 −6.9% | — |
| 126d | Ill-Graft | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlex de Minaur5¢ → 0¢ | $2,147 | +$2,147 +100% | — |
| 126d | redvinny | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima94¢ → 100¢ | $12,485 | +$797 +6.4% | 4 |
| 127d | neutralwave23 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur41¢ → 0¢ | $1,172 | −$1,172 −100% | 6 |
| 127d | Rash-Copying | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur36¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 9 |
| 127d | Zer010 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur35¢ → 0¢ | $1,750 | −$1,750 −100% | 6 |
| 127d | Hongweiqian2 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur61¢ → 0¢ | $9,000 | −$9,000 −100% | 6 |
| 127d | alaskabaked2 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur65¢ → 0¢ | $4,959 | −$4,959 −100% | 6 |
| 127d | omnibus-00c8ef | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur63¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 6 |
| 127d | Livid-HospiceNew account | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur62¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 18 |
| 127d | JoeytheReal | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur62¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 6 |
| 127d | tennistrader20 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur69¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 127d | swisstony2 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur74¢ → 0¢ | $2,135 | −$2,135 −100% | 6 |
| 127d | flatbarrel | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 0¢ | $2,130 | −$2,130 −100% | 6 |
| 127d | tradecraft | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 0¢ | $4,260 | −$4,260 −100% | 6 |
| 127d |  TRCM | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 0¢ | $4,260 | −$4,260 −100% | 6 |
| 127d | omnibus-076daa | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 0¢ | $3,197 | −$3,197 −100% | 6 |
| 127d |  bigmac999 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
| 127d |  Lfg689 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlex de Minaur71¢ → 0¢ | $2,777 | +$2,777 +100% | — |
| 127d | Lfg689 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur72¢ → 0¢ | $2,625 | −$2,625 −100% | 6 |
| 127d | Ill-Graft4 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur72¢ → 0¢ | $30,909 | −$30,909 −100% | 4 |
| 127d | Forecastication23 fills | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 0¢ | $3,575 | −$3,575 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Brandon Nakashima in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima means the market gives it about 0%.