Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | graziek99 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $16,739 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | 0xa3ae…aca3 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,790 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | RebornAthena | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $2,547 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | leohe | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,210 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | Valuable-Span-Casket2 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAlex de Minaur90¢ → 100¢ | $3,424 | −$397 −12% | — |
| 19d | Kalahanda | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $7,400 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAlex de Minaur99¢ → 100¢ | $1,941 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 19d | graziek99 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur98¢ → 100¢ | $16,420 | +$335 +2.0% | 4 |
| 19d | UpTheBlues6 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur49¢ → 100¢ | $15,299 | +$16,232 +106% | 6 |
| 19d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing2 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur58¢ → 100¢ | $3,104 | +$2,243 +72% | 6 |
| 19d | NS133 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev41¢ → 0¢ | $7,771 | −$7,771 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | 0x760f…326a | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev42¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | ohcanada1233 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev42¢ → 0¢ | $18,300 | −$18,300 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | askilika9 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev63¢ → 0¢ | $77,139 | −$77,139 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | vladiva | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAlex de Minaur68¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | −$702 −48% | — |
| 19d | jerocotella | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur78¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$319 +28% | 5 |
| 19d | neutralwave23 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAlex de Minaur76¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | −$613 −32% | — |
| 19d | W.Yang911 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur81¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$380 +23% | 5 |
| 19d | mpoly | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAlex de Minaur58¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | −$833 −72% | — |
| 19d | xabidaking | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev42¢ → 0¢ | $2,894 | −$2,894 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | Youthful-MeatNew account | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAlex de Minaur41¢ → 100¢ | $2,791 | −$4,086 −146% | — |
| 19d | 0x78be…bde0 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur55¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,455 +82% | 6 |
| 19d | Tobias1909 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur54¢ → 100¢ | $2,748 | +$2,340 +85% | 6 |
| 19d | Youthful-MeatNew account | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur53¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,776 +89% | 18 |
| 19d | neutralwave23 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur52¢ → 100¢ | $2,318 | +$2,182 +94% | 6 |
| 19d | W.Yang911 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAlex de Minaur37¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | −$1,890 −170% | — |
| 19d | UpTheBlues7 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev65¢ → 0¢ | $23,083 | −$23,083 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | waterman17 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur49¢ → 100¢ | $1,838 | +$1,883 +102% | 6 |
| 19d | jtwyslljy2 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev60¢ → 0¢ | $3,570 | −$3,570 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | Exalted-Evocation | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev73¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | Horrible-Recording2 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur40¢ → 100¢ | $6,220 | +$9,280 +149% | 6 |
| 19d | NS133 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur25¢ → 100¢ | $7,293 | +$21,405 +294% | 6 |
| 19d | Kalahanda | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur27¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$5,407 +270% | 6 |
| 19d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur39¢ → 100¢ | $5,229 | +$8,101 +155% | 4 |
| 19d | phredmoz | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAlex de Minaur22¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | −$4,200 −355% | — |
| 19d | dmoralez3 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev63¢ → 0¢ | $3,323 | −$3,323 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | NightStalker106 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev78¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 5 |
| 19d | Valuable-Span-Casket | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur32¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | +$2,598 +213% | 6 |
| 19d | dmoralez | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | SellAndrey Rublev58¢ → 0¢ | $1,333 | +$1,333 +100% | — |
| 19d | omnibus-076daa | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur52¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$1,022 +92% | 6 |
| 19d | Kkunn2 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev49¢ → 0¢ | $2,684 | −$2,684 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | phredmoz | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur52¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$2,585 +92% | 6 |
| 19d | RebornAthena | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAlex de Minaur53¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$975 +89% | 4 |
| 19d |  nigiri995 fills | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev47¢ → 0¢ | $13,351 | −$13,351 −100% | 4 |
| 20d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev47¢ → 0¢ | $2,800 | −$2,800 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Andrey Rublev in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev means the market gives it about 100%.