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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 1 Winner | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d | djwnke | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,174 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | muchova19 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $3,577 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | Leo626626 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $2,418 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | praba84 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | saltibiscoti | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,487 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d |  hd777 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $24,850 | −$25 −0.1% | — |
| 13d |  MurkSniper | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | SellAlex de Minaur>99¢ | $1,614 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | MurkSniper | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur97¢ → 100¢ | $2,168 | +$58 +2.7% | 4 |
| 13d | hd7772 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur97¢ → 100¢ | $24,120 | +$755 +3.1% | 4 |
| 13d | Leo626626 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur98¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$46 +2.4% | 4 |
| 13d | muchova19 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur98¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$80 +2.3% | 4 |
| 13d | Flaznorp2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur91¢ → 100¢ | $7,091 | +$702 +9.9% | 4 |
| 13d | HomeRunHazard4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur79¢ → 100¢ | $8,042 | +$2,177 +27% | 4 |
| 13d | lhetorar | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | SellAlex de Minaur84¢ → 100¢ | $4,638 | −$883 −19% | — |
| 13d | Substantial-Service | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyRei Sakamoto27¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyRei Sakamoto28¢ → 0¢ | $4,483 | −$4,483 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | 0x2022x | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$601 +40% | 4 |
| 13d |  12xmrbolt | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$944 +41% | 4 |
| 13d | 01258787xy48487484545122 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur71¢ → 100¢ | $8,358 | +$3,414 +41% | 4 |
| 13d | swy01 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur70¢ → 100¢ | $3,358 | +$1,457 +43% | 4 |
| 13d | Jooboo123 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyRei Sakamoto33¢ → 0¢ | $1,287 | −$1,287 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyRei Sakamoto33¢ → 0¢ | $3,676 | −$3,676 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | saltibiscoti | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur68¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$476 +47% | 4 |
| 13d | Hellinas | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur72¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$389 +39% | 4 |
| 13d | Worrisome-Winery2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur72¢ → 100¢ | $4,659 | +$1,839 +39% | 4 |
| 13d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyRei Sakamoto31¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | lhetorar | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur69¢ → 100¢ | $3,810 | +$1,712 +45% | 4 |
| 13d | Spotless-Girlfriend | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur70¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$621 +43% | 4 |
| 13d |  nigiri993 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyRei Sakamoto31¢ → 0¢ | $4,538 | −$4,538 −100% | 4 |
| 13d |  isco22 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyRei Sakamoto54¢ → 0¢ | $3,181 | −$3,181 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur70¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$630 +43% | 4 |
| 13d | Cuco84 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur70¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$857 +43% | 4 |
| 14d | fastball67 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyRei Sakamoto30¢ → 0¢ | $3,897 | −$3,897 −100% | 4 |
| 14d | 0x9b11…53752 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur70¢ → 100¢ | $3,669 | +$1,572 +43% | 4 |
| 14d | Lexington | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | SellAlex de Minaur68¢ → 100¢ | $1,901 | −$894 −47% | — |
| 14d | Lexington | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | BuyAlex de Minaur70¢ → 100¢ | $1,965 | +$842 +43% | 4 |
Gamer-Girl5,284 shares
eskk2,488 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Rei Sakamoto in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Rei Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto means the market gives it about 100%.