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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173d | Quiet-Mile | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley | SellJacob Fearnley>99¢ | $1,287 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d |  TRCM | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley | BuyJacob Fearnley96¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$47 +4.2% | 4 |
Po1yamory400 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Jacob Fearnley in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Jacob Fearnley. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley means the market gives it about 0%.