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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 Winner | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 Winner | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +68 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39d | fivethirty | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | SellPavel Kotov>99¢ | $4,996 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 39d |  alpheclabs | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | SellPavel Kotov>99¢ | $10,090 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | 0xzaky | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | SellPavel Kotov>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | thestingsnake | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | SellPavel Kotov87¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | −$354 −15% | — |
| 39d | Mad-Wound | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov88¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$310 +14% | 5 |
| 39d |  laIaIalala | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki14¢ → 0¢ | $1,609 | −$1,609 −100% | 6 |
| 39d |  one8tyfive | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov83¢ → 100¢ | $6,684 | +$1,369 +20% | 5 |
| 39d | fivethirty | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov80¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$5,098 +25% | 5 |
| 39d | gavgavgav | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki22¢ → 0¢ | $1,057 | −$1,057 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | Datacent3 fills | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki14¢ → 0¢ | $5,481 | −$5,481 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | 0xFD74d4504299cCE1c537464BdD932F8a0e6bA2a2 fills | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki14¢ → 0¢ | $2,320 | −$2,320 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | HomeRunHazard9 fills | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov75¢ → 100¢ | $22,183 | +$7,517 +34% | 6 |
| 39d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov86¢ → 100¢ | $2,517 | +$404 +16% | 5 |
| 39d | UpTheBlues | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov85¢ → 100¢ | $1,758 | +$310 +18% | 5 |
| 39d | Yawning-Chicken2 fills | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov85¢ → 100¢ | $5,099 | +$866 +17% | 5 |
| 39d | Flaznorp2 fills | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov85¢ → 100¢ | $3,438 | +$585 +17% | 5 |
| 39d | Thebigshot3 fills | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki34¢ → 0¢ | $6,582 | −$6,582 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | 01258787xy48487484545122 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov66¢ → 100¢ | $4,936 | +$2,543 +52% | 6 |
| 39d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki53¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | −$1,450 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | ferrariChampions2026 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov60¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$699 +67% | 6 |
| 39d | Sn83832 fills | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | SellPavel Kotov48¢ → 100¢ | $3,498 | −$3,772 −108% | — |
| 39d | RebornAthena2 fills | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki53¢ → 0¢ | $5,500 | −$5,500 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | Sn83832 fills | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov48¢ → 100¢ | $3,986 | +$4,355 +109% | 6 |
| 39d | cosmin1992 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki60¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | −$1,002 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | yesmate2 fills | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov42¢ → 100¢ | $3,125 | +$4,375 +140% | 6 |
| 39d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki64¢ → 0¢ | $6,660 | −$6,660 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | paquitomillonario | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki66¢ → 0¢ | $1,713 | −$1,713 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | 01258787xy48487484545122 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki65¢ → 0¢ | $2,432 | −$2,432 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | squishy777 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki54¢ → 0¢ | $1,203 | −$1,203 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | yesmate3 fills | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki51¢ → 0¢ | $9,600 | −$9,600 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | ferrariChampions2026 | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki48¢ → 0¢ | $2,087 | −$2,087 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | Kkunn | Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki49¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Pavel Kotov in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Pavel Kotov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov means the market gives it about 0%.