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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Game Spread +/-0.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d | Flaznorp | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki91¢ → 100¢ | $16,092 | +$1,592 +9.9% | 5 |
| 31d | NS133 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov14¢ → 0¢ | $8,952 | −$8,952 −100% | 6 |
| 31d | pagliacci4 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki92¢ → 100¢ | $2,575 | +$224 +8.7% | 5 |
| 31d | omnibus-076daa | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki85¢ → 100¢ | $1,595 | +$282 +18% | 5 |
| 31d | Exalted-Evocation2 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki88¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$542 +14% | 5 |
| 31d | flatbarrel | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki85¢ → 100¢ | $1,442 | +$254 +18% | 5 |
| 31d |  tradecraft | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki85¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$450 +18% | 5 |
| 31d | neutralwave23 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | SellShintaro Mochizuki86¢ → 100¢ | $3,126 | −$509 −16% | — |
| 31d |  Marcoli | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki92¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$1,652 +8.3% | 5 |
| 31d | NS138 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki54¢ → 100¢ | $33,569 | +$28,249 +84% | 6 |
| 31d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki59¢ → 100¢ | $4,634 | +$3,200 +69% | 6 |
| 31d | BaltazarGombka | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki66¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$695 +52% | 6 |
| 31d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki47¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$3,947 +113% | 6 |
| 31d | Flaznorp | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov50¢ → 0¢ | $1,780 | −$1,780 −100% | 6 |
| 31d | ORI- | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov59¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 31d | Lilybaeum | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyShintaro Mochizuki42¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$1,487 +138% | 6 |
| 31d | 0x8c95…00fe | Completed Match | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,466 | +$91 +2.0% | 4 |
| 31d | Babooou | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov59¢ → 0¢ | $1,770 | −$1,770 −100% | 4 |
| 31d | 0x9a58…1327 | Completed Match | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,555 | +$93 +2.0% | 4 |
| 31d | fastball67 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov58¢ → 0¢ | $10,110 | −$10,110 −100% | 4 |
| 31d | 0x1693…c9fa | Completed Match | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,520 | +$92 +2.0% | 4 |
| 31d |  88M | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov60¢ → 0¢ | $1,061 | −$1,061 −100% | 4 |
88M8,082 shares
hobo691,000 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Pavel Kotov in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Pavel Kotov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov means the market gives it about 100%.