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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 Winner | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 2 Winner | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80d | Nwp24 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan | SellFabian Marozsan>99¢ | $4,910 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 80d | adard17 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$56 +1.1% | 4 |
| 80d | Nwp24 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan74¢ → 100¢ | $3,637 | +$1,278 +35% | 6 |
| 80d | HomeRunHazard | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyShintaro Mochizuki39¢ → 0¢ | $2,762 | −$2,762 −100% | 6 |
| 80d | ferrariChampions2026 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyShintaro Mochizuki36¢ → 0¢ | $6,837 | −$6,837 −100% | 6 |
| 80d |  RN1 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyShintaro Mochizuki34¢ → 0¢ | $1,265 | −$1,265 −100% | 6 |
| 80d | neutralwave23 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyShintaro Mochizuki57¢ → 0¢ | $1,750 | −$1,750 −100% | 6 |
| 80d | HomeRunHazard | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan64¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | +$670 +56% | 6 |
| 81d | JAMJAMJAM4 | National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan62¢ → 100¢ | $2,003 | +$1,227 +61% | 6 |
one8tyfive2,242 shares
emoney1,316 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Fabian Marozsan in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Fabian Marozsan. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan means the market gives it about 0%.