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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 1 Winner | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 2 Winner | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59d |  党的光辉照我心 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | SellShintaro Mochizuki>99¢ | $1,050 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | Paul973973 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | SellShintaro Mochizuki>99¢ | $1,030 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | siberia | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | SellShintaro Mochizuki>99¢ | $1,208 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | RasUmSid | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | SellShintaro Mochizuki>99¢ | $1,086 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 59d |  hd777 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | BuyShintaro Mochizuki99¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 59d | suntori | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | SellDaniel Milavsky9¢ → 0¢ | $1,279 | +$1,279 +100% | — |
| 59d | swisstony2 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | BuyShintaro Mochizuki83¢ → 100¢ | $5,294 | +$1,079 +20% | 5 |
| 60d | Biyinggogogo | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | SellShintaro Mochizuki81¢ → 100¢ | $8,099 | −$1,900 −23% | — |
| 60d | Pitiful-Roster-Modernist | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | BuyDaniel Milavsky20¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 60d |  VibeDoter | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | BuyShintaro Mochizuki81¢ → 100¢ | $9,185 | +$2,155 +23% | 5 |
| 60d | Pitiful-Roster-Modernist | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | SellShintaro Mochizuki80¢ → 100¢ | $2,366 | −$591 −25% | — |
| 60d | Reliable-Giggle | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | SellShintaro Mochizuki80¢ → 100¢ | $1,583 | −$385 −24% | — |
| 60d | Pitiful-Roster-Modernist | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | BuyShintaro Mochizuki43¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$1,685 +133% | 6 |
| 60d | ferrariChampions2026 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | BuyShintaro Mochizuki42¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$1,654 +138% | 6 |
| 60d |  TRCM | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | BuyShintaro Mochizuki41¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | +$1,861 +144% | 6 |
| 60d | Ivybabycrypto | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | BuyDaniel Milavsky62¢ → 0¢ | $1,860 | −$1,860 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | xabidaking | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | BuyDaniel Milavsky62¢ → 0¢ | $5,501 | −$5,501 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | lemonslimes | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | BuyDaniel Milavsky54¢ → 0¢ | $1,188 | −$1,188 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | comon119 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | SellShintaro Mochizuki55¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | −$1,136 −82% | — |
| 60d | danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl62 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | BuyDaniel Milavsky44¢ → 0¢ | $3,845 | −$3,845 −100% | 4 |
| 60d | comon119 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | BuyShintaro Mochizuki59¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | +$2,050 +69% | 4 |
| 60d | RanaAmariPredicts | US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky | BuyShintaro Mochizuki60¢ → 100¢ | $11,300 | +$7,489 +66% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Daniel Milavsky in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Daniel Milavsky. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Milavsky' if Daniel Milavsky advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky means the market gives it about 100%.