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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | Likely-Feedback | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | SellShintaro Mochizuki>99¢ | $3,263 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | littlebay2 fills | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | SellShintaro Mochizuki88¢ → 100¢ | $4,378 | −$623 −14% | — |
| 8d | omnibus-076daa3 fills | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki79¢ → 100¢ | $8,961 | +$2,314 +26% | 5 |
| 8d | esticamos | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki90¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$178 +11% | 5 |
| 8d | JerOri2 fills | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki89¢ → 100¢ | $8,263 | +$1,012 +12% | 5 |
| 8d | UpTheBlues6 fills | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyYosuke Watanuki58¢ → 0¢ | $14,522 | −$14,522 −100% | 6 |
| 8d | UpTheBlues6 fills | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki66¢ → 100¢ | $14,507 | +$7,516 +52% | 6 |
| 8d | Arcus-AI | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | SellShintaro Mochizuki82¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | −$269 −22% | — |
| 8d | Flaznorp | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki95¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$59 +5.3% | 4 |
| 8d |  Rex4163 fills | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki78¢ → 100¢ | $5,349 | +$1,552 +29% | 5 |
| 8d | Madeira99 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | SellShintaro Mochizuki79¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | −$377 −26% | — |
| 8d | _test_i075_i078_12 fills | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyYosuke Watanuki68¢ → 0¢ | $2,969 | −$2,969 −100% | 6 |
| 8d | Substantial-Service2 fills | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyYosuke Watanuki56¢ → 0¢ | $2,360 | −$2,360 −100% | 6 |
| 8d | 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyYosuke Watanuki54¢ → 0¢ | $1,992 | −$1,992 −100% | 6 |
| 8d | ferrariChampions2026 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki48¢ → 100¢ | $6,397 | +$6,930 +108% | 6 |
| 8d | Rex416 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | SellShintaro Mochizuki52¢ → 100¢ | $4,178 | −$3,930 −94% | — |
| 8d | suntori | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | SellShintaro Mochizuki78¢ → 100¢ | $3,206 | −$887 −28% | — |
| 8d | TSFSYD | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki85¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$206 +18% | 5 |
| 8d | Rwa-lxya | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | SellShintaro Mochizuki84¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | −$212 −19% | — |
| 8d | Madeira99 | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki55¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$823 +82% | 6 |
| 8d | suntori | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki40¢ → 100¢ | $1,637 | +$2,456 +150% | 6 |
| 8d |  TRCM | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyYosuke Watanuki69¢ → 0¢ | $2,760 | −$2,760 −100% | 6 |
| 8d |  tradecraft | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyYosuke Watanuki69¢ → 0¢ | $2,760 | −$2,760 −100% | 6 |
| 8d | outloudm | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki31¢ → 100¢ | $2,372 | +$5,280 +223% | 6 |
| 8d | liuhaizhou | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyYosuke Watanuki75¢ → 0¢ | $1,781 | −$1,781 −100% | 6 |
| 8d | Bite-Sized-Strawberry | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyYosuke Watanuki57¢ → 0¢ | $2,166 | −$2,166 −100% | 6 |
| 8d | Lautrebhy | Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki45¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,222 +122% | 4 |
Mother-Teresa446 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Yosuke Watanuki in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Yosuke Watanuki. This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki means the market gives it about 100%.