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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +38 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 Winner | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −63 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51d |  hd777 | Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyMaks Kasnikowski98¢ → 100¢ | $13,309 | +$278 +2.1% | 4 |
| 51d | vvyvv | Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyElmer Moeller64¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 51d | NS13 | Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyMaks Kasnikowski42¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | +$1,794 +138% | 6 |
| 52d |  tradecraft | Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyMaks Kasnikowski75¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$750 +33% | 6 |
| 52d | 0x8b27…f9f02 fills | Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyElmer Moeller43¢ → 0¢ | $3,889 | −$3,889 −100% | 6 |
love53forever300 shares
grumpytrades150 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Maks Kasnikowski in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski means the market gives it about 0%.