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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +39 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Set 1 Winner | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Set 2 Winner | 100% | −1 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | Ss1984 | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | SellLukas Neumayer>99¢ | $4,072 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | austr | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | SellLukas Neumayer>99¢ | $21,849 | −$36 −0.2% | — |
| 10d | pelik | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyLukas Neumayer>99¢ | $33,535 | +$34 +0.1% | 4 |
| 10d | xabidaking | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | SellLukas Neumayer99¢ → 100¢ | $11,594 | −$77 −0.7% | — |
| 10d | jiafanpomarke0012 fills | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyLukas Neumayer>99¢ | $15,984 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 10d | looppau | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyLukas Neumayer>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 10d |  3648393489047 | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | SellLukas Neumayer>99¢ | $17,691 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | UpTheBlues6 fills | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyLukas Neumayer84¢ → 100¢ | $12,993 | +$2,428 +19% | 5 |
| 10d | austr | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyLukas Neumayer88¢ → 100¢ | $19,000 | +$2,613 +14% | 5 |
| 10d | 36483934890474 fills | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyLukas Neumayer70¢ → 100¢ | $49,434 | +$20,980 +42% | 6 |
| 10d | xabidaking | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyLukas Neumayer67¢ → 100¢ | $7,865 | +$3,805 +48% | 6 |
| 10d | Flaznorp | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyLukas Neumayer90¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | +$172 +11% | 5 |
| 10d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyElmer Moeller26¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | HomeRunHazard | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyLukas Neumayer76¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$472 +32% | 6 |
poshposh161 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Lukas Neumayer in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer means the market gives it about 0%.