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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $271K | in 6d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $614 | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $10 | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $5 | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Set 1 Winner | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −68 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +42 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 6d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21h | Paul973973 | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyElmer Moeller97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$66 +3.3% | 4 |
| 21h | dwdwdwdwwwdaa | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyElmer Moeller99¢ → 100¢ | $6,299 | +$84 +1.3% | 4 |
| 21h | neutralwave23 | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | SellElmer Moeller87¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | −$173 −15% | — |
| 21h | atomiczenmonkey | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyElmer Moeller95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$98 +5.2% | 4 |
| 21h | robustmst5 fills | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | SellElmer Moeller94¢ → 100¢ | $47,839 | −$2,854 −6.0% | — |
| 22h | ferdinand22 fills | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyElmer Moeller90¢ → 100¢ | $3,121 | +$366 +12% | 5 |
| 22h | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyElmer Moeller90¢ → 100¢ | $6,241 | +$731 +12% | 5 |
| 22h | UpTheBlues2 fills | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyElmer Moeller89¢ → 100¢ | $4,090 | +$506 +12% | 5 |
| 22h | Reliable-Giggle | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | SellElmer Moeller85¢ → 100¢ | $2,297 | −$405 −18% | — |
| 22h | Numb-Ramie | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha29¢ → 0¢ | $2,426 | −$2,426 −100% | 7 |
| 22h | MilesY | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha27¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 7 |
| 22h | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha28¢ → 0¢ | $1,915 | −$1,915 −100% | 7 |
| 22h | UpTheBlues | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha33¢ → 0¢ | $3,099 | −$3,099 −100% | 7 |
| 22h | robustmst3 fills | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyElmer Moeller58¢ → 100¢ | $29,500 | +$21,193 +72% | 15 |
| 23h |  Woaifacai | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyElmer Moeller53¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$946 +90% | 6 |
| 23h | ferdinand2 | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha49¢ → 0¢ | $1,724 | −$1,724 −100% | 7 |
| 23h | ferrariChampions2026 | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha50¢ → 0¢ | $3,486 | −$3,486 −100% | 7 |
| 23h | Reliable-Giggle | Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha | BuyElmer Moeller37¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,703 +170% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Henrique Rocha in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Henrique Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha means the market gives it about 100%.