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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | SellAlex Molcan>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | Mika06 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | SellAlex Molcan>99¢ | $1,606 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | Numb-Ramie | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | SellAlex Molcan>99¢ | $5,658 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | alaskabaked | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | SellAlex Molcan>99¢ | $4,732 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | Dense-Philosopher-Loincloth | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | SellAlex Molcan>99¢ | $167,088 | −$167 −0.1% | — |
| 17d |  frugs | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | SellAlex Molcan>99¢ | $1,167 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | Ss1984 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan98¢ → 100¢ | $1,965 | +$35 +1.8% | 4 |
| 17d | Luzzzer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | SellAlex Molcan95¢ → 100¢ | $16,172 | −$777 −4.8% | — |
| 17d | W.Yang911 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | SellAlex Molcan79¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | −$317 −27% | — |
| 17d | UsagiMagi | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan66¢ → 100¢ | $2,145 | +$1,105 +52% | 6 |
| 17d | Reliable-Giggle | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | SellAlex Molcan64¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$639 −56% | — |
| 17d | UpTheBlues | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan69¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$502 +45% | 6 |
| 17d |  BIess | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan65¢ → 100¢ | $6,045 | +$3,255 +54% | 6 |
| 17d | Reliable-Giggle | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan65¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$624 +54% | 6 |
| 17d | 1234162 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | SellAlex Molcan59¢ → 100¢ | $1,811 | −$1,258 −69% | — |
| 17d | W.Yang911 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | SellFederico Cina59¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | +$1,180 +100% | — |
| 17d | 0x760f…326a | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan44¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$12,639 +126% | 6 |
| 17d | Illiasca4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan57¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$5,349 +76% | 6 |
| 17d | jtwyslljy2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan39¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$4,300 +159% | 4 |
| 17d |  88M | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan32¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | +$3,520 +212% | 6 |
| 17d | Smile162 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan34¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$3,828 +191% | 6 |
| 17d | kkookkoo2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan67¢ → 100¢ | $25,749 | +$12,965 +50% | 6 |
| 17d | alaskabaked | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan57¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$2,037 +75% | 6 |
| 17d | flatbarrel | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | SellFederico Cina44¢ → 0¢ | $3,343 | +$3,343 +100% | — |
| 17d | flatbarrel | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina41¢ → 0¢ | $3,672 | −$3,672 −100% | 6 |
| 17d | Dense-Philosopher-Loincloth3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan74¢ → 100¢ | $25,218 | +$8,672 +34% | 6 |
| 17d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina24¢ → 0¢ | $6,839 | −$6,839 −100% | 6 |
| 17d | Substantial-Service | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina24¢ → 0¢ | $22,691 | −$22,691 −100% | 6 |
| 17d | Numb-Ramie | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan73¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$370 +37% | 6 |
| 17d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan73¢ → 100¢ | $4,238 | +$1,568 +37% | 6 |
| 17d | Refaelnadal | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan56¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | +$840 +79% | 6 |
| 17d | Luzzzer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyAlex Molcan61¢ → 100¢ | $10,285 | +$6,665 +65% | 6 |
| 17d | 88M | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyAlex Molcan39¢ → 0¢ | $1,138 | −$1,138 −100% | 4 |
| 17d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina40¢ → 0¢ | $1,289 | −$1,289 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Federico Cina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Alex Molcan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina means the market gives it about 100%.