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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech | 50% | +9 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | −4 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +5 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | −3 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +10 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +13 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner | 50% | +7 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 Winner | 50% | +7 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +18 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | −10 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | −32 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | −8 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +1 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | Antblack | China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellArthur Rinderknech50¢ | $32,483 | −$52 −0.2% | — |
| 23d | 0xd485Cb3aFE838F3DdfdAC69fc14d3b7109E6E57 | China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Game Spread +/-1.5 | BuyAlex Molcan47¢ → 50¢ | $4,370 | +$276 +6.3% | 4 |
| 23d | 0xd485Cb3aFE838F3DdfdAC69fc14d3b7109E6E57 | China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | BuyUnder49¢ → 50¢ | $1,442 | +$32 +2.2% | 4 |
| 23d | NinjaSquirtle | China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 23.5 | BuyOver48¢ → 50¢ | $3,344 | +$143 +4.3% | 4 |
| 23d | NinjaSquirtle | China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyArthur Rinderknech40¢ → 50¢ | $1,288 | +$304 +24% | 4 |
| 23d | NinjaSquirtle | China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver 2.543¢ → 50¢ | $1,447 | +$228 +16% | 4 |
| 23d | MrClaude112 fills | China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyAlex Molcan41¢ → 50¢ | $16,535 | +$3,873 +23% | 4 |
| 23d | NinjaSquirtle2 fills | China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyAlex Molcan42¢ → 50¢ | $16,532 | +$3,089 +19% | 4 |
| 23d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyAlex Molcan39¢ → 50¢ | $1,482 | +$418 +28% | 4 |
| 23d | Antblack2 fills | China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech62¢ → 50¢ | $40,000 | −$7,548 −19% | 4 |
| 23d | 1234162 | China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech61¢ → 50¢ | $1,000 | −$179 −18% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Arthur Rinderknech in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Alex Molcan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech means the market gives it about 50%.