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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Set 1 Winner | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Set 2 Winner | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha Game Spread +/-4.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | Understandable98 | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | SellSumit Nagal>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | anon122 | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | SellSumit Nagal>99¢ | $7,024 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 11d |  0xwise2 fills | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | SellSumit Nagal45¢ → 100¢ | $5,682 | −$6,982 −123% | — |
| 11d | 983 | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | SellSumit Nagal>99¢ | $15,563 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 11d |  RN12 fills | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuySumit Nagal74¢ → 100¢ | $2,634 | +$926 +35% | 6 |
| 11d | UpTheBlues | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuySumit Nagal74¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | +$461 +35% | 6 |
| 11d | 0xwise2 fills | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuySumit Nagal30¢ → 100¢ | $2,937 | +$6,858 +234% | 6 |
| 11d | xabidaking | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha58¢ → 0¢ | $1,883 | −$1,883 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | hurrican | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuySumit Nagal62¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$4,290 +61% | 6 |
| 11d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuySumit Nagal46¢ → 100¢ | $6,770 | +$7,956 +118% | 6 |
| 11d |  tradecraft | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha50¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | omnibus-076daa4 fills | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha53¢ → 0¢ | $9,481 | −$9,481 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | DomDomBom | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha78¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 5 |
| 11d | caspar12482 fills | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha73¢ → 0¢ | $2,509 | −$2,509 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | UpTheBlues3 fills | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha79¢ → 0¢ | $4,489 | −$4,489 −100% | 5 |
| 12d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuySumit Nagal53¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | +$1,034 +89% | 6 |
| 12d | Plush-Affidavit-TrapdoorNew account | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha64¢ → 0¢ | $13,021 | −$13,021 −100% | 15 |
| 12d | 983 | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuySumit Nagal14¢ → 100¢ | $2,179 | +$13,400 +615% | 6 |
| 12d | praba842 fills | Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha | BuyHenrique Rocha75¢ → 0¢ | $4,279 | −$4,279 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Henrique Rocha in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Henrique Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Sumit Nagal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha means the market gives it about 100%.