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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Set 1 Winner | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130d | Reasonable-Quota | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | SellBrandon Nakashima99¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | −$18 −1.5% | — |
| 130d | swisstony2 fills | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | BuyBrandon Nakashima74¢ → 100¢ | $4,054 | +$1,397 +34% | 6 |
| 130d | Ancient-Infarction | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | SellBrandon Nakashima98¢ → 100¢ | $1,755 | −$36 −2.0% | — |
| 130d | Ancient-Infarction | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | BuyBrandon Nakashima84¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$291 +19% | 5 |
| 130d | AshHaykArs2 fills | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | SellBrandon Nakashima76¢ → 100¢ | $3,078 | −$990 −32% | — |
| 130d | AshHaykArs | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | BuyBrandon Nakashima70¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$643 +43% | 6 |
| 130d | FaithlessGoD | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | BuyMarton Fucsovics36¢ → 0¢ | $1,243 | −$1,243 −100% | 6 |
| 130d | NiNo999 | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | BuyMarton Fucsovics36¢ → 0¢ | $7,500 | −$7,500 −100% | 6 |
| 130d |  SemyonMarmeladov | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | BuyMarton Fucsovics34¢ → 0¢ | $47,593 | −$47,593 −100% | 6 |
| 130d | ferrariChampions2026 | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | BuyMarton Fucsovics34¢ → 0¢ | $6,607 | −$6,607 −100% | 6 |
| 130d | rabbitfoot12 fills | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | BuyMarton Fucsovics34¢ → 0¢ | $31,150 | −$31,150 −100% | 6 |
| 130d | 0xeb43…4201 | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | BuyBrandon Nakashima67¢ → 100¢ | $3,817 | +$1,918 +50% | 6 |
| 130d | Antique-History4 fills | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | BuyBrandon Nakashima66¢ → 100¢ | $24,051 | +$12,390 +52% | 9 |
| 130d |  lockrobster | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | BuyMarton Fucsovics35¢ → 0¢ | $1,883 | −$1,883 −100% | 6 |
| 130d | SemyonMarmeladov | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | BuyBrandon Nakashima65¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$620 +54% | 6 |
| 130d | Dingwin | HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics | BuyBrandon Nakashima62¢ → 100¢ | $1,689 | +$1,035 +61% | 6 |
SemyonMarmeladov120,828 shares
Joking222,748 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Marton Fucsovics in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Marton Fucsovics. This market will resolve to 'Marton Fucsovics' if Marton Fucsovics advances against Brandon Nakashima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics means the market gives it about 100%.