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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | −2 pts | — | 45¢ · 50¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +13 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +7 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 2 Winner | 50% | +8 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 1 Winner | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +9 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +31 pts | — | 45¢ · 100¢ (55¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +28 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Game Spread +/-2.5 | 50% | −4 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59d | Mrl2090 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | SellFederico Cina>99¢ | $1,558 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | brunomedm | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver 2.545¢ → 50¢ | $2,247 | +$250 +11% | 6 |
| 59d | dwedwd | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | SellFederico Cina>99¢ | $1,246 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | brunomedm | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Match O/U 21.5 | BuyOver45¢ → 50¢ | $2,250 | +$250 +11% | 6 |
| 59d | HVAB | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina99¢ → 100¢ | $3,314 | +$33 +1.0% | 4 |
| 59d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina89¢ → 100¢ | $2,431 | +$285 +12% | 5 |
| 59d | swisstony2 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina83¢ → 100¢ | $4,231 | +$867 +20% | 5 |
| 59d |  VibeDoter | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina83¢ → 100¢ | $6,051 | +$1,239 +20% | 5 |
| 59d | omnibus-076daa | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina75¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | +$470 +33% | 6 |
| 59d | Mad-Wound | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina80¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$611 +24% | 5 |
| 59d | caput.mund | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | SellFederico Cina80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$250 −25% | — |
| 59d | Calm-Ikebana | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina82¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$218 +22% | 5 |
| 59d | HVAB | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | SellFederico Cina73¢ → 100¢ | $3,737 | −$1,377 −37% | — |
| 59d | 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h352 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | SellFederico Cina84¢ → 100¢ | $18,627 | −$3,570 −19% | — |
| 59d | 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h354 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina91¢ → 100¢ | $20,296 | +$2,111 +10% | 5 |
| 59d | omnibus-076daa | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | BuyLuca Nardi10¢ → 0¢ | $1,043 | −$1,043 −100% | 6 |
| 59d | Hot-Efficiency-Flintlock | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina91¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$110 +9.9% | 6 |
| 59d |  laIaIalala | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina | BuyFederico Cina86¢ → 100¢ | $5,311 | +$865 +16% | 5 |
8888Eight2,312 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and Federico Cina in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Luca Nardi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina means the market gives it about 0%.